Bagdad (Tas.)

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Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by Districts since the Census the suburb of Bagdad has an estimated population of approximately 1,573 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 91 residents (6.1%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 1,482 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,563, estimated by Districts following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 57 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 22 persons per square kilometer, a level providing ample space per person. the suburb of Bagdad's 6.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (4.0%), along with the Rest of Tas., marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 47.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including interstate migration and overseas migration were positive factors.

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A balanced mix of blue-collar and white-collar occupations characterizes the local workforce, with the building sector showing exceptionally strong representation. The unemployment rate sits at a low 2.8%, and jobs grew by an estimated 11.3% over the prior year, according to aggregated statistical district details compiled by Districts. In March 2026, there were 776 employed locals, representing an unemployment rate 1.2% lower than the 3.9% recorded in Regional Tas. Participation in the labor market is also high, registering at 64.1% compared to 58.8% for Regional Tas. Census records indicate that a small proportion of 6.5% of workers operated from home, though the influence of pandemic restrictions should be kept in mind.

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Taxpayer records from the ATO for financial year 2023, compiled at the postcode level by Districts, show a median income of $53,252 and an average of $59,414. These figures sit below national benchmarks, compared to a median of $49,689 and an average of $59,358 across Regional Tas. Factoring in a Wage Price Index rise of 10.95% since financial year 2023, current projections place the figures at roughly $59,083 for the median and $65,920 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census highlights that household, family, and individual incomes fall into moderate brackets, positioning between the 37th and 40th percentiles. The earnings distribution shows 39.2% of the population (616 individuals) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which is higher than the regional rate of . Once housing expenses are met, of earnings are available for other costs.

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At the time of the most recent Census, the distribution of residential structures in the locality was 100.0% houses and none were recorded in other categories like apartments or semi-detached options, whereas Regional Tas. comprised 89.9% houses and 10.1% alternative designs. The proportion of outright home ownership was lower than the regional benchmark of Regional Tas., standing at 31.5%, while the remaining properties were held under mortgages (58.6%) or occupied by tenants (9.9%). The median monthly home loan payment was higher than the regional average of $1,274 at $1,341, and the median weekly rent was $350 compared to the regional figure of $250. On a national level, home loan payments are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are below the national median of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 82.7%, consisting of couples with children at 37.3%, childless couples at 30.6%, and single parents at 14.7%. The remaining 17.3% is made up of non-family living arrangements, where single-person households account for 16.5% and shared group homes comprise 0.8%. The typical household size is 2.8 individuals, which is larger than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.

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Local education outcomes show areas for improvement, as university graduation rates (7.3%) sit well below the nationwide benchmark of 30.4%. This represents a key area for potential educational support and development. Among those with degrees, bachelor programs are the most common at 5.7%, followed by postgraduate studies (1.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Practical and vocational qualifications are highly represented, with 43.6% of residents aged 15+ holding certificates or diplomas, including advanced diplomas (7.8%) and certificates (35.8%).

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Significant healthcare concerns are present locally, as indicated by Districts metrics on mortality and long-term illnesses affecting both younger and older residents, alongside a lower rate of private health insurance coverage, which sits at roughly 51% of the population (~797 people) compared to a national average of 55.7%.

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Cultural diversity measures lower than average, with citizens making up 93.1% of the population, 94.5% of residents born in Australia, and 98.8% using only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, representing 47.9% of residents, compared to 43.0% across Regional Tas.

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The median age of 38 years is equal to the national median of 38, yet sits notably below the Regional Tas. average of 45. Relative to the Regional Tas. average, children aged 5 - 14 show a high representation at 14.0%, whereas individuals aged 75 - 84 are underrepresented at 5.3%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 3.7% to 5.3%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 group contracted from 13.7% to 12.0%, and the 5 to 14 group fell from 15.1% to 14.0%. Demographic projections for 2041 point to major shifts, with the to age bracket expected to grow by people (), rising from to . An aging trend is evident, as residents aged + account for of the projected growth, while the to and to groups are forecast to contract.

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Bagdad currently has an estimated 102 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 49 children aged 0-2 and 31 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 13% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 15% by 2041 (to approximately 87 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 139. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 9.6 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.