Hay contains 1 Long Day Care centre (24 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (29 places) and 1 OSHC facility (36 places). Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 136 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 2.4 - placing the area below the national average for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 5.4 children per place (lower quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show an undersupply of LDC places across the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with just 24 places across 1 facility serving a total of 78 children while preschool supply is strong with 1 facility providing 29 places (1.8 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Regional NSW average of 4.4). Projected population decline of 19.1% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are lower female labour force participation of 50.7%, as well as lower quartile employment and income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 16.6 per 100 residents with 385 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This above-average concentration of school places suggests the area serves as something of a destination for educational services, which typically supports elevated childcare demand through school run convenience patterns. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Rather unsurprisingly, out of school hours child care - serving school age children - was found to be much more abundant than other service types in the area. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being longer than typical nationally while fees are notably lower than national averages. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
2 school catchments intersect Hay (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 266 children aged under 5 reside, served by 106 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 2.5 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio.