Virginia contains 1 Long Day Care centre (75 places) and 1 OSHC facility (135 places) on a resident basis — though likely far tighter supply once significant daily workforce inflows to the area are considered. With no preschool/kindergarten services observed in the area, only long day care, the ratio of children per place for the under 5 age group is 2.1 - placing the area slightly below the national average for supply per child on a resident basis, though closer to ~3.0 once estimated daytime workforce inflow is factored in. Projected population decline of 11.2% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are high female labour force participation of 72.1%, as well as upper quartile employment and income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 17.7 per 100 residents with 474 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This above-average concentration of school places suggests the area serves as something of a destination for educational services, which typically supports elevated childcare demand through school run convenience patterns. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Rather unsurprisingly, out of school hours child care - serving school age children - was found to be much more abundant than other service types in the area.
8 school catchments intersect Virginia (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 8,315 children aged under 5 reside, served by 5,689 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.5 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Virginia and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.