Ashbury (NSW)

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According to investigations of ABS demographics releases for the surrounding region and recent residential locations verified by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Ashbury has an estimated population of 3,563 in May 2026. This indicates a growth of 210 citizens (6.3%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 3,353 individuals. The projection is derived from the resident population of 3,550, calculated by Districts using the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 66 verified new residential entries post-Census. Such a population count corresponds to a density of 3,459 individuals per square kilometer, placing the suburb in the highest quarter of all Australian territories analyzed by Districts. The 6.3% expansion of the suburb of Ashbury since the census lags by only 0.3 percentage points behind the SA4 region (6.6%), indicating robust expansion dynamics. The main contributor to demographic gains locally was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly of the overall population rise in recent times.

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Ashbury features a highly qualified labor force, particularly in the technology sector, with an unemployment rate of only 3.0% according to statistical area data compiled by Districts. In March 2026, there are 1,865 employed locals, and the unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than the Greater Sydney level of 4.1%, while workforce participation is considerably lower (63.8% compared to 69.1% in Greater Sydney). Census records indicate that a high 63.1% of employed residents worked from their homes, though this was likely affected by Covid-19 restrictions.

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Ashbury has a median taxpayer income of $52,420 and an average of $68,498, based on the latest postcode ATO statistics compiled by Districts for financial year 2023. This is slightly higher than the national average, though it sits below the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current projections estimate these figures at roughly $57,830 for the median and $75,567 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows local household incomes are in the top tier at the 91st percentile ($2,571 weekly), whereas individual incomes are lower at the 65th percentile. The wage distribution shows that 29.6% of residents (1,054 people) earn over +, differing from regional patterns where of people are in the - bracket. Economic capacity is highlighted by the of households that record high weekly incomes above which supports consumer spending. After paying for housing, locals keep of their earnings, indicating strong financial capacity, and the area is positioned in the th decile for the SEIFA income index.

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The mix of homes in Ashbury at the latest Census consisted of 90.8% standalone houses and 9.2% other housing types (townhouses, units, or alternative options), compared to the Sydney metropolitan breakdown of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Furthermore, the rate of outright home ownership in Ashbury stood far above the Sydney metropolitan rate at 50.6%, with the remaining properties being purchased with a mortgage (37.3%) or occupied by tenants (12.1%). The median monthly home loan payment in the area was significantly higher than the Sydney metropolitan average at $2,817, and the median weekly rent was recorded at $600, compared to metropolitan figures of $2,427 and $470. On a national level, Ashbury's mortgage commitments are much higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rental costs are far above the national median of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 83.0%, consisting of 46.1% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 12.6% single parents. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.0%, with single-person households at 15.3% and group living situations at 1.7% of the total. The median household occupancy of 2.9 individuals is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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The locality shows lower rates of tertiary qualifications, with university graduation rates at 36.4%, which is well below the SA4 regional average of 49.5%. This presents a clear opportunity for focused local education programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 23.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 10.3% and graduate diplomas at 3.0%. Vocational qualifications are common, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates at 16.2%.

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Analysis of transit options shows 19 active bus stops servicing Ashbury. These stops are connected to 14 distinct routes, which together provide 672 weekly passenger trips. Access to transit is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 181 meters from the nearest stop. Due to the residential nature of the suburb, most workers commute out of the area, with private cars remaining the primary choice at 81%, and trains used by 8%. Households own an average of 1.5 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. A high 63.1% of working residents worked from home (2021 Census; likely influenced by temporary pandemic conditions).

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Health indicators show excellent outcomes across Ashbury, according to Districts analyses of mortality figures and long-term health issues, with younger age groups showing particularly low rates of common illnesses. The proportion of residents with private health insurance is high at approximately 54% of the population (~1,924 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

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Ashbury has a high degree of cultural diversity, with 31.6% of the population born outside Australia and 36.2% using a language other than English at home. The primary religious affiliation in Ashbury is Christianity, representing 67.3% of the community, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

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With a median age of 44, Ashbury is much older than the Greater Sydney median of 37 and the national average of 38. The 55 - 64 age cohort is highly represented at 14.6% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less common at 7.6%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 85 and over has increased from 2.0% to 3.1% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 13.3% to 11.9%. Demographic forecasts suggest the age profile of Ashbury will change significantly by 2041. Leading the changes, the 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to expand by 42% ( people), going from to . This aging trend is clear, with residents aged + representing of the total projected growth. In contrast, the to and to age groups are expected to see population declines.

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Ashbury currently has an estimated 117 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 88 children aged 0-2 and 58 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 13% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 3% by 2041 (to approximately 113 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 245. Birth rates in the area have averaged 8.5 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.