Earlwood contains 5 Long Day Care centres (297 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (59 places) and 3 OSHC facilities (295 places). Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 842 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 2.3 - placing the area below the national average for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 2.8 children per place. Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show moderate LDC provision across the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with 297 places across 5 facilities serving 499 children while preschool supply is strong with 1 facility providing 59 places (5.7 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Greater Sydney average of 8.3). Projected population decline of 13.9% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are lower female labour force participation of 53.3%.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 6.2 per 100 residents with 1,142 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. A lower-than-typical rate which suggests pressure might be taken off local services somewhat by school hubs in nearby areas. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Rather unsurprisingly, out of school hours child care - serving school age children - was found to be much more abundant than other service types in the area. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being shorter than average. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
19 school catchments intersect Earlwood (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 18,049 children aged under 5 reside, served by 11,556 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.6 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Earlwood and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.