Balnarring (Vic.)

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According to evaluation of ABS demographic updates for the surrounding region alongside new addresses verified by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Balnarring has a population estimated at approximately 2,309 as of May 2026. This represents a contraction of 62 individuals (2.6%) from the 2,371 people documented in the 2021 Census. This adjustment is calculated from a resident population of 2,308, which was projected by Districts after examining the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) and incorporating an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. With this population level, the area has a density ratio of 84 persons per square kilometer, which offers substantial space per individual and capacity for subsequent expansion. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth, accounting for approximately 55% of all population increases during recent timeframes.

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The suburb of Balnarring features a highly educated workforce with strong representation in essential service industries, an unemployment rate of only 2.5%, and an estimated job growth of 0.8% over the prior year, based on Districts statistical area aggregations. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,188, while the unemployment rate was 2.3% lower than the 4.8% recorded across Greater Melbourne, and labor force participation was notably lower at 64.0% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.2%. Census records show that a high proportion of residents, specifically 31.3%, worked from home, although this may have been influenced by COVID-19 lockdowns.

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The suburb of Balnarring's income level is very high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by Districts for financial year 2023. The suburb of Balnarring's median income among taxpayers is $56,343 and the average income stands at $78,533, which compares to figures for Greater Melbourne's of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $61,763 (median) and $86,088 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Balnarring cluster around the 60th percentile nationally. The data shows 28.6% of the population (660 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents . After housing costs, residents retain of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the th decile.

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Residential structures in the suburb of Balnarring at the most recent Census consisted of 95.6% standalone houses and 4.4% alternative dwellings like semi-detached properties, apartments, and other housing types, whereas the Melbourne metro recorded 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings. Home ownership in the suburb of Balnarring was considerably higher than the Melbourne metropolitan rate at 50.7%, with remaining properties being held under a mortgage (40.4%) or occupied by tenants (8.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment locally was higher than the Melbourne metro average at $2,167, and the median weekly rent was recorded at $480, compared to metropolitan figures of $2,000 and $390. Across the nation, monthly mortgage repayments in the suburb of Balnarring are notably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also well above the national median of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households in the suburb of Balnarring at 77.3%, consisting of 33.9% couples with children, 34.4% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent households. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 22.7% of households, with single-person households at 21.5% and group households representing 0.8% of the total. The median household size of 2.6 residents is identical to the Greater Melbourne average.

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Educational levels in the suburb of Balnarring are substantially higher than regional averages, with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 23.5% in the SA4 region and 25.0% in the SA3 area. This educational profile positions the community well for professional opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 26.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees (6.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational and technical qualification holders are also common, with 36.9% of residents aged 15+ possessing trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (14.2%) and certificates (22.7%).

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Public transport connectivity analysis shows 4 active transit stops in the suburb of Balnarring, consisting of a selection of bus services. These stops are serviced by 1 distinct routes, which provide a total of 147 weekly passenger journeys. Transport accessibility is classified as limited, with residents living an average of 732 meters from the nearest stop. Because the locality is mostly residential, the majority of working residents commute elsewhere, and private vehicles remain the primary transit mode at 95%. Households own an average of 1.8 vehicles, which exceeds the metropolitan average. A high proportion of residents, 31.3%, work from home (according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect COVID-19 rules).

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Health metric data reveals excellent wellness outcomes throughout the suburb of Balnarring, based on Districts analysis of mortality statistics and chronic disease rates, which shows a very low occurrence of common medical conditions across all age groups, while the rate of private health insurance is very high, covering approximately 58% of the total population (~1,335 people).

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The suburb of Balnarring is below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 85.5% of its population born in Australia, 90.3% holding citizenship, and 97.0% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 40.3% of local residents. The most noticeable disproportion relative to the wider city is in Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

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The median age of 46 years in the suburb of Balnarring is significantly higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and well above the Australian median of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented locally at 15.3% compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while 25 - 34 year-olds are underrepresented at 5.1%. This concentration of residents aged 65 - 74 is much higher than the national share of 9.4%. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age cohort has increased from 7.9% to 10.4% of the population, and the 65 to 74 bracket grew from 13.5% to 15.3%. Conversely, the to demographic shrank from to and the to cohort declined from to . Projections for the year suggest major demographic transitions in the suburb of Balnarring. The + cohort is expected to increase substantially, growing by people () from to . The aging profile of the community is apparent, with individuals aged + representing of all projected population increases. In contrast, the to and to age groups are expected to experience population declines.

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Balnarring currently has an estimated 124 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 69 children aged 0-2 and 45 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 6% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 10% by 2041 (to approximately 112 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 211. Birth rates in the area have averaged 11.0 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally).