Notting Hill (Vic.)

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Estimates from Districts, which combine ABS population releases for the region with post-Census address verification, suggest that 4,763 residents live in the suburb of Notting Hill as of May 2026. Comparing this to the 2,895 individuals recorded during the 2021 Census, the population has expanded by 1,868 people, representing a 64.5% rise. This update builds upon an Districts figure of 4,731 that incorporated the ABS June 2025 ERP release, supplemented by 20 newly validated addresses. With 2,995 persons per square kilometer, the suburb is situated in the highest quartile nationally for population density. This 64.5% rate of expansion since 2021 outperformed the Victorian benchmark of 9.3% and national levels, establishing the suburb as a primary growth corridor. This upward trend was almost exclusively fueled by arrivals from overseas, which acted as the solitary contributor to these demographic gains.

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Tax data from the ATO compiled by Districts for the 2023 financial year indicates that taxpayer earnings in the suburb of Notting Hill sit below the national benchmark. Taxpayers in the suburb recorded a median income of $45,967 and an average of $57,257, compared to the Greater Melbourne figures of $57,688 and $75,164. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index expansion of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates as of March 2026 are approximately $50,389 for the median and $62,765 for the average. Census records show household, family, and individual incomes place the suburb modestly in the 30th to 39th percentiles nationally. Earnings distributions show 34.7% of local taxpayers (representing 1,652 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the wider metropolitan pattern where of taxpayers fall into the same bracket. Affordability pressures are highly pronounced, with residents retaining only of their income, which ranks in the th percentile, while the SEIFA index for income places the area in the th decile.

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Census data shows that housing typologies in Notting Hill consist of 45.0% standalone houses and 54.9% semi-detached dwellings, apartments, or other structures, contrasting with the Greater Melbourne profile of 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings. Homeownership rates of 21.5% trail the metropolitan average, with the remaining tenure split between mortgaged properties (27.6%) and rented homes (50.9%). The median mortgage payment of $1,876 per month and median rent of $371 per week compare to metropolitan benchmarks of $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, local mortgage commitments exceed the Australian median of $1,863, whereas rental costs remain below the countrywide average of $375.

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Families make up 59.1% of all households in the area, consisting of 22.0% couples with children, 25.3% couples without children, and 8.0% single-parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 40.9%, with single-person households representing 29.8% and group households making up 11.7% of the total. The median household occupancy stands at 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

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Academic qualifications in Notting Hill are exceptionally high, with 55.4% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university degree, compared to 29.8% across the SA4 region and 30.4% nationwide. This concentration of tertiary education positions the local workforce well for employment in knowledge-based industries. Undergraduate degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 30.9%, followed by postgraduate study at 22.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.4%. Vocational education accounts for 19.0% of qualifications among residents aged 15 and over, split between advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 8.9%.

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Public transport infrastructure within Notting Hill includes 16 bus stops. These stops accommodate 12 distinct routes, which combine to offer 2,002 scheduled weekly services. Transport connectivity is high, with residents living an average of 286 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the suburb's residential character, most working residents commute to external employment hubs. Private vehicles remain the primary transit choice at 77%, with 7% of workers commuting by train and 6% by bus. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.0 car per household, which is lower than the regional average. A high proportion of residents, 30.9%, worked from home at the time of the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related working arrangements.

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Health profiles in Notting Hill are favorable, with Districts metrics showing low mortality rates and a low prevalence of chronic illness across all age groups. Private health insurance coverage is held by approximately 50% of the population, representing about 2,359 individuals. This is lower than the Greater Melbourne rate of 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

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Culturally diverse demographics characterize Notting Hill, with 58.9% of residents speaking a non-English language at home and 62.2% born outside of Australia. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 29.9% of the population. There is a distinct concentration of Buddhist residents, who account for 13.4% of the population, which is higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.2%.

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The median age of residents in Notting Hill is 26 years, which is lower than the Greater Melbourne median of 37 and the national average of 38. Young adults aged 15 to 24 are highly represented, making up 37.0% of the local population compared to 12.7% nationally, while the 45 to 54 age bracket is lower at 5.9%. Since the 2021 Census, the median age has decreased by 4.2 years from 30 to 26. This shift is driven by the 15 to 24 cohort rising from 20.1% to 37.0%, while the 45 to 54 group decreased from 8.9% to and the to cohort declined from to . Demographic projections for indicate that the to age group will grow by individuals, representing a increase from to .

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Notting Hill currently has an estimated 142 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 50 children aged 0-2 and 33 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 23% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 44% by 2041 (to approximately 204 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 122. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been low, with approximately 3.4 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the bottom 20% of areas assessed nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.