St Johns Park contains 2 Long Day Care centres (70 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (20 places) and 1 OSHC facility (60 places), while overall provision relative to the local child population appears limited compared to national benchmarks, and is below the Greater Sydney average, though with certain cohorts and service types experiencing tighter provision. Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 259 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 3.0 - placing the area among the bottom 30% nationally for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 3.8 children per place (lower quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show an undersupply of LDC places across the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with just 70 places across 2 facilities serving a total of 160 children while preschool supply is strong with 1 facility providing 20 places (5.3 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Greater Sydney average of 8.3). To meet the Greater Sydney average 53 new places would be required (LDC+PSK to service the under 5 age group). Meanwhile, projected population decline of 22.0% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are lower female labour force participation of 36.3%.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 10.9 per 100 residents with 692 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This middle-of-the-road rate of school supply suggests most local students are residents within the immediate area. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being shorter than average while fees are notably lower than national averages. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
6 school catchments intersect St Johns Park (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 2,813 children aged under 5 reside, served by 1,494 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.9 children per place, with moderate variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between St Johns Park and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.