Turners Beach (Tas.)

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Analysis of ABS population updates for the wider region and new address datasets verified by Districts since the Census indicates that the suburb of Turners Beach has an estimated population of 2,164 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 198 people (10.1%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 1,966 residents. The calculation stems from a resident population of 2,134 estimated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with 39 validated new addresses registered since the Census. This population size results in a density of 303 persons per square kilometer, offering generous space per resident and room for future expansion. The 10.1% growth rate in the suburb of Turners Beach since the 2021 census outpaced both the SA4 region (3.8%) and the state, positioning it as a regional growth leader. This population rise was mostly fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 66.0% of the total gains, though other components such as overseas migration and natural increase also made positive contributions.

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Data aggregated by Districts indicates that Turners Beach has a highly skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 1.8%, and a 3.4% annual increase in employment. As of March 2026, there are 1,103 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 2.2% lower than the Regional Tas. figure of 3.9%, while participation in the labor force is relatively typical, standing at 62.1% compared to 58.8% in Regional Tas. Census data shows that a minor 7.4% of residents worked from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic lockdowns.

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According to the latest ATO postcode statistics for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the suburb of Turners Beach earn a median income of $46,805 and an average income of $55,574. These figures sit below the national benchmarks, and compare with a median of $49,689 and an average of $59,358 in Regional Tas. Adjusted for a 10.95% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to a median of approximately $51,930 and an average of $61,659 as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed household, family, and personal incomes in moderate ranges, landing between the 36th and 40th percentiles. The primary income group consists of 32.3% of local taxpayers (698 people) earning within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which aligns with metropolitan trends where fall into this bracket. Residents retain of their income after housing costs, though disposable income is below average at the st percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the th decile for income.

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According to the latest Census, the housing stock in Turners Beach is composed of 88.1% separate houses and 11.9% other dwelling types, such as apartments and semi-detached properties, compared to 89.9% separate houses and 10.1% alternative dwellings in Regional Tas. Home ownership rates are higher than the regional average at 44.9%, with remaining households holding a mortgage (38.3%) or renting (16.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,387 is higher than the Regional Tas. average of $1,274, and the median weekly rent of $280 is also above the regional figure of $250. Compared nationally, mortgage payments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are well below the national median of $375.

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Families make up 73.1% of all households, consisting of couples without children at 32.7%, couples with children at 27.6%, and single parents at 11.9%. Non-family households account for the remaining 26.9%, with lone person households representing 24.7% and group households making up 1.8% of the total. The median household size stands at 2.4 residents, which is slightly larger than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.

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Educational attainment levels in Turners Beach are below regional averages, with 21.0% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university degree, compared to 30.4% nationwide. This indicates opportunities for further educational advancement. Bachelor degrees represent the largest tertiary qualification at 15.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are common, with 39.6% of the population aged 15 and over possessing credentials in these areas, consisting of advanced diplomas (8.4%) and certificate level qualifications (31.2%).

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Health indicators are generally positive for the local population, with Districts analysis of mortality rates and chronic conditions aligning closely with national averages. The incidence of common medical conditions is typical across age cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is on the lower side, held by approximately 49% of the population (~1,064 people), compared to the Australian average of 55.7%.

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The local population displays lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with 91.5% of residents born in Australia, 92.2% holding citizenship, and 96.9% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 47.5% of the population. The most notable statistical variance is in the Other category, which represents 0.9% of residents compared to 0.7% across Regional Tas.

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The median age of 46 years is similar to the Regional Tas. median of 45, but sits higher than the national median of 38. The age distribution reveals a high proportion of residents in the 45 - 54 age bracket (12.8%), while the 25 - 34 cohort is smaller at 9.9% compared to Regional Tas. Post-2021 Census adjustments show the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 6.6% to 9.0% of the population, and the 85+ cohort grew from 1.3% to 2.8%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 group declined from 16.4% to 14.6%, and the 25 - 34 group fell from to . Projections for suggest significant demographic shifts, with the to age bracket expected to rise by people () from to . Older residents (+) are projected to account for of population growth, confirming an aging trend, while the to and - cohorts are expected to decrease.

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Turners Beach currently has an estimated 90 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 54 children aged 0-2 and 35 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 8% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 8% by 2041 (to approximately 83 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 196. Birth rates in the area have averaged 8.6 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally).