Canterbury contains 2 Long Day Care centres (125 places) and 2 OSHC facilities (165 places), while overall provision relative to the local child population appears limited compared to national benchmarks, and is below the Greater Sydney average. With no preschool/kindergarten services observed in the area, only long day care, the ratio of children per place for the under 5 age group is 3.9 - placing the area among the bottom 20% nationally for supply per child. To meet the Greater Sydney average 160 new places would be required (LDC+PSK to service the under 5 age group). Meanwhile, projected population decline of 3.1% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Socioeconomic performance in the area in the way of income and employment figures, including female workforce participation, are broadly in line with national averages.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 13.4 per 100 residents with 1,333 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This middle-of-the-road rate of school supply suggests most local students are residents within the immediate area. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is higher than average. Rather unsurprisingly, out of school hours child care - serving school age children - was found to be much more abundant than other service types in the area. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being shorter than average while high fees are observed suggesting limited supply might be having an outsized impact on inflation.
11 school catchments intersect Canterbury (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 9,831 children aged under 5 reside, served by 6,770 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.5 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Canterbury and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.