Ceduna (SA)

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According to municipal population data updates compiled by ABS and subsequent residential address verifications by Districts following the census, the suburb of Ceduna has an estimated residential count of 2,051 as of May 2026. Compared to the 1,955 residents documented during the 2021 Census, this indicates an expansion of 96 individuals (4.9%). This demographic adjustment is calculated using the updated resident base of 2,051, modeled by Districts using the June 2025 ERP data release from the ABS alongside 15 validated new addresses documented after the census date. The current population volume yields a density of 5.1 persons per square kilometer, which represents a spacious layout for residents. The 4.9% rate of growth recorded in the suburb of Ceduna since the 2021 census outperformed the broader SA4 region (4.2%) and the SA3 area, establishing it as a regional leader in population expansion. This upward trend was chiefly supported by natural increase, which was responsible for approximately of the overall population gains over the specified timeframe.

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Ceduna displays a balanced labor market split between professional and manual occupations, with a solid footprint in essential services and a local unemployment rate of 12.2% derived from consolidated statistical datasets. In March 2026, the employed population stood at 880 residents, while the local jobless rate sat 6.7% higher than the Regional SA average of 5.5%, indicating opportunities for labor market optimization. The participation rate remains standard at 61.6% compared to 58.4% for Regional SA. Census returns indicated that a minimal 5.1% of local workers operated from home, though this figure should be interpreted in light of past pandemic lockdown conditions.

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Consolidated ATO taxpayer statistics from the 2023 financial year show that the suburb of Ceduna recorded a median taxpayer income of $50,344 and an average taxpayer income of $59,373. These figures sit below the national benchmarks and compare to median and average tax figures of $48,920 and $58,933 across Regional SA. Adjusting for a 10.17% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current local estimates are approximately $55,464 for the median and $65,411 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reveals that household, family, and individual incomes are modest, falling between the 26th and 41st percentiles. Income distribution figures indicate that 28.9% of the local population (592 individuals) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket, which is close to the metropolitan average of . Average housing expenses consume a moderate share of earnings, leaving of income intact, though overall disposable income ranks low in the nd percentile.

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The residential landscape in Ceduna at the time of the latest Census consisted of 90.1% standalone houses and 9.9% alternative housing types like semi-detached properties, townhouses, and apartments, compared to 88.5% houses and 11.5% other dwelling types across Regional SA. Home ownership rates in Ceduna were lower than the Regional SA average, standing at 30.7%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (24.8%) or renting (44.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,200 was higher than the Regional SA benchmark of $1,153, while the median weekly rent was $200, compared to $220 in Regional SA. By national standards, Ceduna's median mortgage costs are well below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also much lower than the national figure of $375.

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Families make up 67.2% of all local households, consisting of 25.7% couples raising children, 26.8% couples without children, and 13.0% single parent households. The remaining 32.8% consists of non-family households, which are predominantly lone person households at 30.2% and group households at 3.0%. The median household size of 2.4 residents is slightly larger than the Regional SA average of 2.3.

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The region presents low levels of tertiary education, with university graduation rates of 14.9% falling well short of the Australian average of 30.4%, highlighting a clear focus area for future educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications are most common at 10.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 2.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational education is prominent, with 37.4% of residents aged 15 and over holding a technical credential, split between advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 28.0%.

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Health indicators highlight significant challenges based on local mortality and chronic illness data across both younger and older cohorts, with private health insurance coverage levels sitting low at around 50% of the population, representing approximately 1,035 people. This is lower than the nationwide average of 55.7%.

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Cultural diversity metrics show below-average figures, with citizens making up 88.5% of the population, 90.7% of residents born in Australia, and 89.8% using only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 48.4% of the population. The most prominent religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.2% of residents compared to none in Regional SA.

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The median age of 37 years in Ceduna is lower than the Regional SA median of 47 and matches closely with the national median of 38 years. The 25 - 34 age bracket is well represented at 14.0% compared to Regional SA, while the 65 - 74 age group is smaller at 10.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35 to 44 age cohort has grown from 10.6% to 12.9% of the population, and the 55 to 64 group has increased from 11.2% to 12.5%. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 group has dropped from 12.6% to 9.4%. Population models indicate the age profile of Ceduna will experience shifts by with the to cohort showing the fastest growth at , adding residents to reach . Older residents aged and over are expected to account for of the total population growth, highlighting a local aging trend. Conversely, population drops are predicted for the to and to age cohorts.

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Ceduna currently has an estimated 137 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 78 children aged 0-2 and 52 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 6% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 1% by 2041 (to approximately 138 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 232. Birth rates in the area have averaged 12.3 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a high rate (among the top 30% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.