Coes Creek (Qld)

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According to investigations of ABS population revisions for the broader region alongside address registries confirmed by Districts post-Census, the suburb of Coes Creek is inhabited by approximately 1,601 individuals as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 86 residents (5.7%) compared to the 2021 Census, which registered a population of 1,515 people. The adjustment is derived from a resident population of 1,566, computed by Districts via analyzing the latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) plus an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population scale translates to a density ratio of 672 persons per square kilometer, indicating substantial space per resident and prospective scope for additional growth. Growth in the suburb of Coes Creek was chiefly powered by domestic arrivals from other states, which accounted for roughly 62.0% of the aggregate population increase during the recent timeframe, though all components including overseas migration and natural growth registered positive impacts.

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Coes Creek features a balanced labor force distributed across white-collar and blue-collar roles, with a solid footprint in essential services and an unemployment rate of 5.6%, based on aggregated statistical area statistics compiled by Districts. In March 2026744 local residents were employed, representing an unemployment rate that is 1.7% higher than the Regional Qld level of 3.9%, while labor force participation is slightly suppressed at 62.0% compared to 64.3% across Regional Qld. Census data indicates that a modest 11.0% of the workforce worked from their homes, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 restrictions.

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The latest ATO data at the postcode level for the 2023 financial year shows that personal incomes in Coes Creek are below the national average, recording a median of $49,091 and an average of $60,517. This is lower than the Regional Qld median of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Adjusting these figures for the 11.36% growth in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year yields updated estimates of approximately $54,668 for the median and $67,392 for the average as of March 2026. Census findings show that household, family, and individual incomes are all moderate, placing between the 28th and 43rd percentiles. In terms of earnings brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 range encompasses 39.0% of local earners, representing 624 people, which is comparable to the wider region where 31.7% of the population falls into this category. Affordability constraints are significant, with residents retaining only of their income, which ranks in the th percentile, while the SEIFA income metric ranks the area in the th decile.

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According to the latest Census, the housing stock in Coes Creek consisted of 98.5% separate houses and 1.5% other housing types like townhouses or flats, compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings across Regional Qld. Home ownership rates in the suburb were higher than the regional average, with 36.4% of homes owned outright, while the remaining properties were held under a mortgage (50.8%) or occupied by tenants (12.7%). The median monthly home loan payment of $1,733 was higher than the Regional Qld median of $1,655, and the median weekly rent of $443 was also higher than the regional figure of $345. On a national level, mortgage costs in the suburb are below the Australian median of $1,863, whereas rental costs are notably higher than the national median of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 79.3%, which includes couples with children at 34.9%, couples without children at 31.0%, and single parents at 12.3%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 20.7% of households, consisting of lone person households at 18.2% and group housing at 3.1%. The median household size of 2.7 people is slightly larger than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

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The local area has comparatively low levels of higher education, with 17.4% of residents holding a university degree, which is below the national average of 30.4%. This gap highlights a potential opportunity for targeted educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.6% and postgraduate degrees at 2.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding tertiary trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 29.1%.

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Health indicators in Coes Creek are close to national averages, according to mortality and chronic illness data analyzed by Districts. The incidence of common health conditions is standard across both younger and older demographics, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is relatively low at about 51% of the population, which represents approximately 819 people.

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Coes Creek has a lower level of cultural diversity than average, with 84.1% of residents born in Australia, 91.9% holding citizenship, and 95.8% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, practiced by 49.1% of the population, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

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The median age in Coes Creek is 42 years, which is similar to the Regional Qld median of 41 and higher than the national median of 38. The 35 - 44 age bracket is overrepresented at 14.3% compared to the regional profile, while the 15 - 24 cohort is underrepresented at 10.7%. Since the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 10.5% to 13.1% of the population, while the 55 to 64 group has declined from 13.4% to 11.9% and the 5 to 14 cohort has dropped from 14.1% to 12.7%. Demographic projections for 2041 suggest significant changes, with the to age group expected to grow by , adding people to increase from to while the to age bracket is forecast to grow by a modest , adding just residents.

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Coes Creek currently has an estimated 99 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 57 children aged 0-2 and 39 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 24% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 38% by 2041 (to approximately 137 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 150. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 12.1 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 30% of areas assessed nationally.