Cranley (Qld)

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Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by Districts since the Census the suburb of Cranley has an estimated population of 2,656 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 375 people (16.4%) compared to the 2,281 people recorded in the 2021 Census. This change is calculated from the resident population of 2,656, which Districts estimated after evaluating the ABS June 2025 ERP data release alongside 159 validated new addresses identified since the Census date. This population level yields a density ratio of 254 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and capacity for subsequent expansion. The 16.4% growth rate in the suburb of Cranley since the 2021 census outperformed the SA3 area (9.2%) and the SA4 region, establishing the locality as a regional growth leader. Population growth was driven primarily by interstate migration, which accounted for approximately of all population increases in recent times, though overseas migration and natural growth also registered positive contributions.

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Cranley has a skilled labor pool with strong representation in essential services, and an unemployment rate of 5.5% according to Districts aggregations of statistical area data. As of March 2026936 residents are employed. The unemployment rate is 1.5% higher than the 3.9% recorded in Regional Qld, while participation in the workforce is notably lower at 41.4% compared to 64.3% in Regional Qld. Census data indicates that only 5.9% of workers worked from home, though this may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions.

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Taxpayer income levels in the suburb of Cranley are below the national average according to ATO data aggregated by Districts for financial year 2023. The median income for local taxpayers is $44,152, and the average income is $54,251, compared to Regional Qld averages of $53,146 and $66,593. Applying the Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023 yields estimated current figures of approximately $49,168 for the median and $60,414 for the average as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census reveals that Cranley's household, family, and personal incomes all rank between the 8th and 16th percentiles nationwide. The income distribution shows that 34.3% of the population (911 individuals) earn between $800 and $1,499, whereas the wider region is led by the - bracket at . Although residents retain of their income due to modest housing costs, the overall disposable income ranks in the th percentile nationally.

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The housing stock in Cranley at the time of the latest Census consisted of 67.8% separate houses and 32.3% other dwelling types, such as apartments and semi-detached properties, compared to Regional Qld's mix of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Outright home ownership in Cranley was notably higher than the regional rate at 57.1%, with 15.7% of properties mortgaged and 27.2% rented. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,517 and median weekly rent of $330 were both lower than the Regional Qld averages of $1,655 and $345. Locally, mortgage costs are significantly below the national average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also well below the Australian average of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 63.6%, consisting of couples without children at 39.6%, couples with children at 13.7%, and single parents at 8.9%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 36.4% of households, with single-person households at 32.8% and group homes at 3.7%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

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The region presents educational challenges, with the university qualification rate (18.6%) sitting significantly lower than the national average of 30.4%. This highlights both an area of need and a target for educational programs. Among university graduates, bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational and technical training is common, with 35.6% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (24.5%).

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Analysis of public transit indicates there are 2 active transport stops within Cranley, consisting of bus services. These stops connect to 1 distinct routes that provide a combined total of 112 weekly passenger journeys. Transit access is moderate, with residents living an average of 592 meters from the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, resulting in most residents commuting out of the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary choice at 97%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.0 per household, below the regional average. A relatively small 5.9% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

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Significant health issues are present in Cranley, according to Districts analyses of mortality and chronic illness data, affecting both younger and older residents. The rate of private health insurance is low, covering approximately 49% of the population (~1,293 people), compared to 52.5% in Regional Qld and a national average of 55.7%.

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Cranley displays lower levels of cultural diversity than the national average, with citizens making up 88.6% of the population, 83.7% of residents born in Australia, and 92.8% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 68.0% of residents, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

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The median age in Cranley is 60, which is higher than the regional median of 41 and the national median of 38 years. The 75 - 84 cohort is heavily represented at 22.3% of the population compared to Regional Qld, while the 45 - 54 group is less common at 5.1%. This 75 - 84 concentration is also much higher than the national figure of 6.1%. Since 2021, the 25 to 34 age bracket has risen from 10.8% to 13.5%, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 7.5% to 9.0%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 group fell from to , and the to group decreased from to . Demographic projections suggest the age structure in Cranley will change substantially by . The + bracket is projected to increase by ( people), rising from to residents. Population aging is expected to continue, with seniors aged and older making up of all projected growth, while the to and to brackets will contract.

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Cranley currently has an estimated 127 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 94 children aged 0-2 and 62 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 37% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 6% by 2041 (to approximately 135 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 207. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 10.8 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.