Denman (NSW)

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According to the analysis of ABS population reports for the broader region and recent address validations conducted by Districts since the Census, the population of the suburb of Denman is estimated to be approximately 1,813 in May 2026. This represents a contraction of 8 people (0.4%) from the 1,821 residents recorded in the 2021 Census. This adjustment is derived from the resident population of 1,803, calculated by Districts using the ABS ERP release from June 2025 alongside 3 new validated addresses found since the Census date. The population level yields a density of 15.5 persons per square kilometer, which represents a spacious living environment. Although the suburb of Denman experienced a 0.4% contraction after the census, the SA3 region expanded by 2.4%, showing opposing demographic patterns. Demographic gains in the region were primarily supported by interstate migration, which accounted for approximately 50.0% of overall population growth in recent times, though all indicators, including natural increase and overseas migration, remained positive.

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Denman features a balanced workforce distributed across white-collar and industrial roles, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of just 2.0%, and an annual employment growth estimate of 0.7% according to Districts aggregated data. As of March 2026880 residents were employed, and the local unemployment rate was 2.1% lower than the Regional NSW rate of 4.1%, while participation rates were similar to the Regional NSW average of 60.6%. Census data indicates that only 8.5% of working residents worked from home, though the influence of COVID-19 lockdowns should be taken into account.

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The most recent postcode-level ATO statistics from Districts for the financial year 2023 show that incomes in the suburb of Denman are below the national average, with a median of $47,150 and an average of $60,890. This is lower than the Regional NSW median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 are approximately $52,016 for the median and $67,174 for the average. Census records show household, family, and individual incomes are all modest, placing between the 30th and 32nd percentiles. In terms of distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket contains 25.9% of residents (469 individuals), which is close to the wider region where this segment comprises 29.9%. After housing costs, households retain of their income for other living expenses.

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According to the latest Census, residential structures in Denman consisted of 85.1% standalone houses and 14.9% alternative dwellings such as townhouses, apartments, or other structures, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% other options in Regional NSW. Homeownership rates in Denman lagged behind Regional NSW at 36.4%, with the remaining properties either mortgaged (37.6%) or rented (26.0%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,650 was below the Regional NSW average of $1,733, and the median weekly rent of $280 was below the regional figure of $330. Nationally, mortgage payments in Denman are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are substantially below the national average of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 67.8%, consisting of couples with children at 27.4%, couples without children at 27.2%, and single-parent households at 12.2%. Non-family households represent the remaining 32.2%, with single-person households at 31.5% and group living situations at 0.6%. The median household occupancy of 2.4 residents is identical to the Regional NSW average.

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The region shows lower rates of formal education, with university graduation rates of 9.2% falling well below the NSW average of 32.2%. This indicates a clear area for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common credential at 6.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.8% and graduate diplomas at 0.6%. Vocational qualifications are common, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding technical credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificates at 35.9%.

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Public transit records show 68 active transport stops in the suburb of Denman, consisting of various bus options. These stops are served by 11 distinct routes, which provide 398 passenger trips each week. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with average distances to the nearest stop being 130 meters. As a residential location, most workers commute out of the area, with private cars remaining the primary mode of travel at 91%, followed by walking at 7%. The average number of motor vehicles is 1.5 per household. Only 8.5% of residents worked from home at the time of the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 guidelines.

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Health statistics show significant challenges in Denman based on Districts assessments of mortality figures and chronic illness rates, with a notable occurrence of common illnesses in both young and old residents, and a private health insurance coverage rate of approximately 51% of the population, which represents about 925 people.

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Denman exhibits lower levels of cultural diversity, with citizens making up 92.5% of the population, 93.4% born in Australia, and 98.6% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion at 70.2% of the population, compared to 55.9% in Regional NSW.

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With a median age of 43, the suburb of Denman matches the Regional NSW median of 43 and is higher than the national median of 38. The age distribution shows a high concentration of people aged 55 - 64 years (14.5%), while the 65 - 74 age bracket is smaller (10.3%) than in Regional NSW. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age bracket has risen from 7.0% to 8.3%, and the 85+ cohort has risen from 3.3% to 4.6%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 age group fell from 13.0% to 11.2%, and the 45 to 54 cohort fell from to . Looking to demographic forecasts project major changes in age profiles. The + age group is projected to grow by ( people), increasing from to . Combined cohorts aged + are expected to represent of all population growth, highlighting the aging trend. Conversely, the to and to age brackets are projected to experience declines.

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Denman currently has an estimated 92 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 50 children aged 0-2 and 34 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 2% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 20% by 2041 (to approximately 110 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 170. Birth rates in the area have averaged 11.8 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (among the top 30% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.