Elermore Vale (NSW)

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According to evaluations of ABS population updates for the wider region, along with fresh addresses verified by Districts following the Census, the suburb of Elermore Vale has a population estimated at 6,274 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 217 residents (3.6%) from the 2021 Census, which registered 6,057 residents. The shift is calculated using the resident population of 6,251, estimated by Districts after reviewing the most recent ERP data from the ABS (June 2025) plus an extra 66 verified new addresses since the Census date. This population size results in a density ratio of 1,254 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical ratio found across national sites analyzed by Districts. The 3.6% expansion since census in the suburb of Elermore Vale is within 1.3 percentage points of the Rest of NSW (4.9%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Demographic growth in this locality was mostly fueled by overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 62.0% of the total population gains in recent times.

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Elermore Vale possesses a qualified labor force, with strong representation in key service sectors, and an unemployment rate of 5.1%, derived from Districts aggregations of statistical area data. As of March 2026, there are 2,976 working residents, while the local unemployment rate sits 1.0% above the 4.1% rate for Regional NSW, and labor participation is very close to the Regional NSW figure of 60.6%. Census data reveals that a moderate 25.1% of working residents performed their duties from home, though the influence of Covid-19 lockdown restrictions must be taken into account.

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The suburb of Elermore Vale has a median taxpayer income of $52,951 and an average taxpayer income of $62,471, according to postcode-level ATO data compiled by Districts for financial year 2023. These figures are below the national average, contrasting with a median of $52,390 and an average of $65,215 across Regional NSW. Adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,416 for the median and $68,918 for the average as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Elermore Vale are modest, falling between the 30th and 39th percentiles. The largest income bracket is the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which accounts for 30.3% of residents (1,901 people), reflecting regional patterns where of the population falls into this category. Housing cost burdens are significant, with residents retaining only of their income, which sits in the th percentile, and the SEIFA income index ranks the area in the th decile.

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At the time of the most recent Census, the distribution of residential structures in Elermore Vale was 79.2% separate houses and 20.8% alternative dwellings (including semi-detached properties, apartments, and other housing types), compared to 82.6% separate houses and 17.4% alternative dwellings in Regional NSW. Home ownership levels in Elermore Vale were slightly below those of Regional NSW at 37.1%, with the remaining properties being purchased under a mortgage (36.4%) or occupied by tenants (26.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,842 was higher than the Regional NSW average of $1,733, and the median weekly rent of $380 was also higher than the Regional NSW average of $330. On a national scale, mortgage payments in Elermore Vale are below the Australian average of $1,863, while rent costs exceed the national benchmark of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 69.8%, consisting of couples with children at 30.4%, couples without children at 26.7%, and single parent households at 11.5%. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.2%, which is comprised of single person households at 26.8% and group households at 3.5%. The median household occupancy of 2.5 people is slightly larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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Attainment of educational qualifications in Elermore Vale is lower than regional averages, with 26.0% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree compared to 32.2% across NSW. This variance points to opportunities for future educational growth and vocational upskilling. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees (5.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational and trade certifications are common, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (25.0%).

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Public transport systems include 87 active transit stops operating within Elermore Vale, consisting of various bus options. These stops are served by 64 separate routes that generate 1,054 passenger trips weekly. Transport accessibility is considered excellent, with residents living an average of 128 meters from their nearest transit stop. Because the area is primarily residential, the vast majority of working residents travel outside the suburb for work, and private vehicles remain the main transit choice for 95% of commuters. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per home. Additionally, 25.1% of residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 safety measures.

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Health indicators point to notable difficulties for Elermore Vale, as shown by Districts' evaluation of mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses, which reveals a substantially higher than average rate of common medical conditions, particularly among older residents, alongside a low rate of private health insurance coverage at roughly 52% of the population (~3,241 people).

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Elermore Vale exhibits lower than average levels of cultural diversity, with 84.5% of the population born in Australia, 92.2% holding citizenship, and 87.6% using only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, practiced by 53.5% of the population, which compares to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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The median age in the suburb of Elermore Vale is 41 years, which is slightly below the Regional NSW average of 43 years but sits above the national average of 38 years. The 25 - 34 age bracket is well represented at 15.3% compared to Regional NSW, while the 55 - 64 bracket is less common at 9.7%. Since the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age bracket has increased from 12.5% to 15.3% of the population. Conversely, the 85+ cohort decreased from 4.6% to 3.3% and the 55 to 64 bracket declined from 10.8% to 9.7%. Demographic models suggest that the age structure in the suburb of Elermore Vale will undergo notable changes by . The to age group is projected to grow the fastest at , adding residents to reach a total of . Meanwhile, population drops are expected for the to and to age cohorts.

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Elermore Vale currently has an estimated 357 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 217 children aged 0-2 and 144 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 14% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 21% by 2041 (to approximately 431 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 515. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 12.2 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 30% of areas assessed nationally.