Herne Hill contains 1 Long Day Care centre (116 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (32 places) and 1 OSHC facility (24 places). Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 249 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 1.7 - placing the area slightly above the national average for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 2.2 children per place. Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show moderate LDC provision across the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with 116 places across 1 facility serving 154 children while preschool supply is constrained with 1 facility providing 32 places (3.2 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Regional Vic. average of 2.0). With projected population growth of 25.0% between now and 2041, and 34.1% in the under 5 age group in particular, 45 new places will be needed to maintain today's ratios. As well as this projected growth, other drivers of note in the area are high female labour force participation of 66.9%.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 36.4 per 100 residents with 1,263 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This notably elevated rate of school supply suggests many students travel to the area from beyond the immediate surrounds, typically amplifying local childcare demand given school-run proximity. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Fee analysis shows high fees are observed relative to national benchmarks. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
4 school catchments intersect Herne Hill (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 11,905 children aged under 5 reside, served by 9,305 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.3 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Herne Hill and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.