Melton (Vic.)

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According to investigations of ABS population revisions for the surrounding region, and recent addresses verified by Districts since the Census, the resident count of the suburb of Melton (Vic.) is projected to stand at approximately 8,122 in May 2026. This indicates a rise of 169 residents (2.1%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 7,953 residents. This adjustment is deduced from the population of 8,079, computed by Districts following analysis of the most recent ERP statistics from the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 290 verified new addresses since the Census date. This size of population translates to a density ratio of 398 persons per square kilometer, leaving considerable space per inhabitant and potential capacity for additional expansion. Growth of the population in the locality was chiefly propelled by net overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 75.0% of total demographic growth in recent times.

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Melton has a balanced labor force covering professional and industrial occupations, with the building sector showing notable concentration, alongside an unemployment rate of 15.1% and 0.8% in estimated job expansion over the prior year, based on Districts calculations of regional data. For the month of March 2026, 3,107 local occupants are employed, while the rate of unemployment is 10.3% higher than the Greater Melbourne level of 4.8%, highlighting capacity for progress, and labor force participation is lower (54.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.2%). According to Census figures, a moderate 14.5% of workers operated from home, though the influence of Covid-19 restrictions should be kept in mind.

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The most recent postcode level ATO data compiled by Districts for financial year 2023 indicates that local earnings in Melton are lower than the national average, with a median of $38,820 and an average of $44,176. This is lower than the Greater Melbourne median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current projections would be roughly $42,554 (median) and $48,426 (average) as of March 2026. Census results from 2021 place local household, family, and individual earnings between the 5th and 6th percentiles across the country. The statistics show 29.7% of the population (2,412 individuals) earning within the $800 - 1,499 bracket, differing from the broader region where the - bracket is largest at . Affordability pressures for housing are critical, with only of income remaining after costs, ranking in the th percentile.

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The composition of residential properties in Melton, as recorded in the latest Census, was 83.2% houses and 16.7% alternative housing styles (including semi-detached units, flats, and other dwellings), compared to the Melbourne metropolitan breakdown of 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative types. Additionally, home ownership in Melton was higher than the Melbourne metropolitan average at 33.6%, with remaining homes either being paid off via a mortgage (30.7%) or occupied by tenants (35.7%). The median monthly home loan payment was lower than the Melbourne metropolitan average at $1,300, and the median weekly rent was recorded at $300, compared to $2,000 and $390 respectively across metropolitan Melbourne. Nationally, Melton's home loan payments are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are lower than the national median of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 63.7%, consisting of couples with children at 23.7%, couples without children at 21.1%, and single parent households at 17.5%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 36.3%, with single person households at 33.1% and share houses making up 2.9% of the total. The median household occupancy of 2.4 residents is below the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

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The locality displays educational disparities, with university graduation rates (13.0%) significantly below the metropolitan Melbourne average of 37.0%. This situation represents both a hurdle and a target for educational advancement programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common credential at 9.0%, followed by postgraduate studies (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational and technical training is prominent, with 38.7% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (28.7%).

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Public transport analysis identifies 59 active transport stops operating in Melton, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected to 11 individual routes, providing a total of 2,461 weekly passenger journeys. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents living an average of 226 meters from the nearest stop. As a residential area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary choice at 88%, and trains used by 5%. Motor vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per household, which is below the metropolitan average. A total of 14.5% of residents work from home (based on the 2021 Census, which may show the impact of COVID-19 rules).

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Major health difficulties are present throughout Melton, according to Districts' evaluation of mortality statistics and the presence of long-term conditions, which affect both younger and older cohorts, combined with a low level of private health coverage covering approximately 44% of the population (~3,608 individuals). This is lower than the 56.7% recorded in Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%.

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Melton exhibits greater ethnic variety than most local areas, with 30.0% of the population born outside Australia and 25.0% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 51.0% of the population. However, the most distinct religious concentration relative to the average is Islam, which accounts for 4.2% of the population, compared to 5.6% across Greater Melbourne.

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With a median age of 40, Melton is older than Greater Melbourne at 37 and slightly older than Australia at 38 years. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, the 65 - 74 age group is overrepresented (11.9% locally), whereas the 25 - 34 age group is underrepresented (11.8%). Since 2021, the 75 to 84 bracket has grown from 6.2% to 8.9% of the population, and the 15 to 24 group rose from 11.0% to 12.1%. In contrast, the 25 to 34 group fell from 13.5% to 11.8%, and the 0 to 4 group declined from to . Demographic projections indicate the local age profile will change substantially by . The to cohort is expected to grow, increasing by people () from to . The combined + age groups will account for of total population growth, showing the aging trend of the area. Meanwhile, the to and to age groups are expected to experience population declines.

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Melton currently has an estimated 430 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 259 children aged 0-2 and 172 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 16% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 4% by 2041 (to approximately 411 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 807. Birth rates in the area have averaged 10.4 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.