Aintree (Vic.)

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According to ABS population adjustments for the region and new home addresses verified by Districts after the Census, the suburb of Aintree has a calculated residency of approximately 13,942 individuals as of May 2026. This indicates an addition of 5,960 people (74.7%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 7,982 people. This shift is determined from a resident base of 13,519, calculated by Districts using the most recent ABS ERP figures from June 2025 alongside an extra 1,263 validated new addresses since the Census. Such a population size represents a density of 2,071 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds the typical figure across nationwide areas tracked by Districts. The 74.7% rate of expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the state level of 9.3% and the countrywide median, establishing the area as a regional growth leader. Population increases were primarily driven by domestic relocations from interstate, which comprised roughly 85.0% of total population additions lately, though natural increase and international arrivals also made positive contributions.

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Aintree features a highly qualified labor force spread across various sectors, alongside an unemployment rate of 8.9%, calculated from aggregated regional statistics. As of March 2026, there are 2,250 employed local residents, whereas the unemployment rate is 4.1% higher than the Greater Melbourne benchmark of 4.8%, highlighting areas for progress. Labor force participation is also quite low at 27.3% relative to 70.2% in Greater Melbourne. Census records indicate that a high 25.4% of residents worked from home, although this should be viewed in light of pandemic lockdowns.

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Taxpayer data at the postcode level aggregated by Districts for financial year 2023 shows a median income of $56,267 and an average income of $64,041 in the suburb of Aintree. These figures sit below the national average and contrast with a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164 for Greater Melbourne. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, updated estimates suggest figures of approximately $61,680 for the median and $70,202 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reveals that household, family, and individual earnings in Aintree are relatively high, positioning between the 77th and 85th percentiles nationwide. The largest group, comprising 47.0% of local residents (6,552 people), falls in the $1,500 - category, mirroring the regional pattern of in this bracket. Economic strength is reflected in the of households earning weekly incomes exceeding supporting consumer demand. Housing expenses consume of earnings, yet strong wages keep disposable income in the th percentile, with the area's SEIFA income score sitting in the th decile.

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Residential configurations in Aintree, recorded during the latest Census, consisted of 99.1% detached houses and 0.9% other property types like townhouses and apartments, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% alternative dwellings across metropolitan Melbourne. Home ownership rates in Aintree lagged the metropolitan average, sitting at 5.3%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (73.8%) or renting (20.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Melbourne metro average at $2,167, and the median weekly rent stood at $420, compared to metropolitan figures of $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, Aintree's mortgage commitments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents are also above the national benchmark of $375.

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Family households represent the vast majority of local homes at 91.8%, consisting of couples with children at 66.6%, couples without children at 16.6%, and single parent households at 7.6%. Non-family households account for the remaining 8.2%, with single person households representing 7.3% and group housing comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size of 3.6 residents is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

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Academic achievement in Aintree is high compared to regional and national standards, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees, compared to 24.3% in the surrounding SA3 region and 30.4% across Australia. This educational profile positions the area well for professional opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 27.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 12.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%. Technical qualifications are also prominent, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (14.3%) and certificates (14.6%).

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Public transport networks include 20 active stops in Aintree, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 5 distinct routes, which accommodate 1,188 weekly passenger trips. Transport connections are rated as good, with residents living an average of 213 meters from the nearest stop. Because of the area's residential nature, most commuters travel out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary transport method at 88%, and train travel at 9%. Dwellings average 1.7 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. A high 25.4% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

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Evaluations of health data indicate positive outcomes throughout Aintree, based on Districts' analysis of mortality trends and chronic illness. The occurrence of major health issues is low among the general population and corresponds closely to the national average in older, vulnerable cohorts, while private health insurance coverage is slightly above the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the population (~7,273 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne.

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Aintree ranks as one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 54.3% of its population born overseas and 67.9% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 36.0% of local residents. The most pronounced divergence from wider trends is in the Other religious category, which represents 22.6% of the population compared to a Greater Melbourne average of 2.3%.

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With a median age of 28, Aintree is younger than Greater Melbourne's median of 37 and Australia's median of 38. The age breakdown shows a high concentration of 35 - 44 year-olds (30.2%), while the 55 - 64 age bracket is small (2.1%) compared to Greater Melbourne. The proportion of 35 - 44 year-olds is higher than the national figure of 14.3%. Post-2021 Census data points to a younger demographic trend, with the median age dropping from 30 to 28 years. Key movements show the 35 to 44 age bracket growing from 23.7% to 30.2% of the population, and the 0 to 4 group rising from to . Conversely, the to age bracket fell from to , while the to group dropped from to . Projections for suggest further changes, with the to group expected to grow the fastest at , adding residents to reach while the to group is expected to decline by residents.

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Aintree currently has an estimated 2,133 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 807 children aged 0-2 and 538 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 107% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 3% by 2041 (to approximately 2,193 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 1,919. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 22.0 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally.