Oakhurst (NSW)

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According to evaluations of ABS demographic statistics for the surrounding region and validated addresses identified by Districts following the Census, the population of the suburb of Oakhurst (NSW) is projected to be approximately 7,055 by May 2026. This represents an addition of 108 residents (1.6%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 6,947 individuals. This shift is calculated from a resident base of 7,028, estimated by Districts using the ABS demographic update from June 2025, combined with 18 validated new addresses confirmed since the Census. Such population numbers translate to a density of 3,475 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quarter of Australian areas analyzed by Districts. The suburb of Oakhurst (NSW)'s post-census growth of 1.6% is within 2.0 percentage points of the broader SA3 territory (3.6%), showing solid expansion potential. Net migration from abroad was the primary driver of these gains, accounting for roughly 53.0% of the overall increase in recent times.

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The locality possesses a skilled resident workforce across multiple industries, exhibiting a jobless rate of 4.2% and an annual employment growth rate estimated at 1.8%, based on aggregated regional data. By March 2026, working residents numbered 4,126, with unemployment matching the Greater Sydney mark of 4.1%, and labor participation reaching 75.6%, which is significantly higher than the metropolitan rate of 69.1%. Census records show that a substantial 28.6% of the workforce operated from home, though this was likely influenced by pandemic containment measures.

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ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that incomes in Oakhurst fall below the national standard, with a median of $56,654 and an average of $62,698. This is lower than the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to a median of $62,501 and an average of $69,168 as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed weekly household income at the 72nd percentile ($2,097 weekly), while personal earnings sat at the 53rd percentile. The largest earnings segment consists of 38.8% of residents (2,737 people) receiving between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the wider region where are in this bracket. Housing expenses take up of income, yet solid overall earnings keep disposable income at the st percentile, with the area ranking in the th decile for SEIFA income.

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The mix of residential dwellings in Oakhurst at the time of the latest Census consisted of 94.9% separate houses and 5.1% semi-detached properties, apartments, or other structures, contrasting with the Sydney metropolitan breakdown of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwelling types. The home ownership rate stood at 22.3%, which is lower than the Sydney metropolitan average, with remaining households paying off a mortgage (50.7%) or renting (27.0%). Typical monthly mortgage payments of $2,013 were well below the Sydney metro standard of $2,427, while median weekly rent was $418, compared to $470 across metropolitan Sydney. On a national level, Oakhurst mortgage costs exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are also notably higher than the country-wide median of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 85.2%, consisting of couples with children at 50.1%, childless couples at 18.8%, and single-parent homes at 15.2%. Non-family living arrangements account for 14.8% of the total, with single-person households representing 12.4% and group shared homes at 2.3%. The typical household size of 3.3 people exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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Educational challenges are apparent, with university graduation rates of 25.4% falling well short of the Greater Sydney benchmark of 38.0%. This highlights a clear need for targeted educational development. Bachelor degrees represent the main qualification at 19.7%, with postgraduate degrees at 4.5% and graduate diplomas at 1.2%. Vocational skills are highly prevalent, with 31.8% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificate qualifications (20.8%).

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Public transport analysis identifies 48 active transit stops in Oakhurst, consisting of various bus options. These stops are served by 27 separate routes, providing a total of 1,640 passenger trips per week. Transport access is excellent, with residents living an average of 163 meters from the nearest stop. Given the suburban character, the majority of workers travel outside the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary choice at 87% and trains used by 7% of commuters. Household car ownership stands at 1.7 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average. A significant 28.6% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census figures that may reflect pandemic conditions.

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Health metrics indicate lower outcomes in Oakhurst, based on mortality statistics and chronic disease trends. While general illness rates are typical, they are higher than national figures for older age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is relatively low, held by approximately 52% of residents (~3,650 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

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Oakhurst exhibits a high degree of multiculturalism, with 44.3% of residents born outside Australia and 47.4% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the main religious affiliation, representing 60.4% of the population. The most prominent religious variance is Islam, which accounts for 11.3% of the community compared to 6.8% across Greater Sydney.

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With a median age of 34 years, Oakhurst has a younger population than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Oakhurst has a higher proportion of young people aged 15 - 24 (16.0%) but a smaller share of 25 - 34 year-olds (13.7%). Since the 2021 Census, the 65 to 74 age bracket has risen from 7.1% to 9.0% of the population. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 14.1% to 12.7% and the 0 to 4 group declined from 6.3% to 5.2%. Future projections for suggest major shifts in local age structure. The to cohort is expected to experience the most significant growth at , adding residents to reach a total of . Residents aged + will account for of the overall growth, highlighting the aging trend, while declines are projected for the to and to age brackets.

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Oakhurst currently has an estimated 366 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 234 children aged 0-2 and 155 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 16% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 20% by 2041 (to approximately 294 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 812. Birth rates in the area have averaged 10.7 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.