Blackmans Bay (Tas.)

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Drawing on ABS population revisions for the surrounding region alongside new addresses validated by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Blackmans Bay has a projected residency of 7,979 as of May 2026. This indicates an expansion of 291 people (3.8%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 7,688 people. The shift is calculated from a resident population of 7,960, estimated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP release and 97 validated new addresses registered after the Census. The resulting density stands at 1,284 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical level across Australian locations analysed by Districts. The 3.8% increase in the suburb of Blackmans Bay since the census is within 0.1 percentage points of the broader SA4 region (3.9%), indicating a competitive growth profile. This upward trend was largely fueled by overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 77.0% of the overall population rise in recent times.

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The local workforce is characterized by high levels of education and strong representation in essential services, paired with an unemployment rate of only 2.4% and steady job numbers over the past year, according to statistical data aggregated by Districts. In March 2026, 4,168 residents were employed, and the local unemployment rate was 2.0% lower than the Greater Hobart rate of 4.4%. Workforce participation matched the Greater Hobart rate of 63.8%. Census data indicates that a modest 12.1% of employees worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of COVID-19 restrictions.

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Taxpayer income levels in the suburb of Blackmans Bay are consistent with national averages, according to ATO statistics aggregated by Districts for financial year 2023. The median income for local taxpayers was $52,629, with an average income of $67,464, compared to median and average figures of $54,577 and $65,190 in Greater Hobart. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes would be approximately $58,392 (median) and $74,851 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reveals that household, family, and individual incomes in Blackmans Bay sit around the 59th percentile nationally. The most common bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, containing 34.1% of residents (2,720 people), which aligns with the regional distribution where fall into this band. After paying for housing, households retain of their income, indicating healthy purchasing power, while the area ranks in the th decile for SEIFA income.

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At the time of the latest Census, the housing mix in Blackmans Bay consisted of 92.9% standalone houses and 7.1% alternative formats like townhouses or apartments, compared to 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings across metropolitan Hobart. Home ownership rates were considerably higher than the metropolitan average at 42.5%, with mortgaged properties making up 35.7% and rented properties accounting for 21.8%. The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Hobart metropolitan average at $1,655, while the median weekly rent was $400, compared to metropolitan figures of $1,517 and $350. Nationally, local mortgage commitments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents exceed the national average of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 75.2%, consisting of couples with children at 31.8%, couples without children at 31.3%, and single parents at 11.2%. Non-family households represent the remaining 24.8%, with single-person households at 22.1% and share houses at 2.7%. The median household occupancy of 2.5 people is slightly higher than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

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Academic credentials in Blackmans Bay are well above average, with 37.5% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 25.5% across TAS and 30.4% nationally. This educational profile positions the community to benefit from knowledge-intensive industries. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 22.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.4%). Vocational training is also well represented, with 30.4% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (19.6%).

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Analysis of transit options indicates 42 bus stops operate in Blackmans Bay, which are serviced by 114 separate routes delivering 9,258 passenger trips per week. Transport links are good, with dwellings averaging 248 meters from the nearest stop. Because of the suburb's residential nature, the majority of workers commute outside the area, with private vehicles accounting for 89% of trips and buses for 8%. Households average 1.6 vehicles, which is above the regional norm. A low 12.1% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which was likely affected by pandemic conditions.

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Blackmans Bay displays positive health metrics, based on Districts assessments of mortality and chronic disease rates, with standard health issues evenly distributed across age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is high, with approximately 54% of the population (~4,300 people) holding cover, compared to 51.7% in Greater Hobart.

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The population shows elevated cultural diversity, with 21.5% of residents born outside Australia and 11.1% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 44.3% of the population. The most prominent religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.2% of residents compared to 0.1% in Greater Hobart.

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With a median age of 42, Blackmans Bay is older than Greater Hobart's average of 39 and the Australian average of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly visible at 13.3% of the population, whereas the 25 - 34 bracket is smaller at 9.9%. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 6.4% to 8.3%, while the 25 to 34 group fell from 11.0% to 9.9%. Projections to 2041 suggest significant demographic shifts, with the 45 to 54 cohort expected to grow by 43% (437 people), increasing from to . In contrast, the to and to age brackets are projected to shrink.

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Blackmans Bay currently has an estimated 398 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 229 children aged 0-2 and 153 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 6% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 10% by 2041 (to approximately 358 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 715. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been low, with approximately 7.8 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the bottom 30% of areas assessed nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.