Carseldine (Qld)

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According to demographic updates from the ABS for the wider region, combined with recent address records verified by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Carseldine has an estimated population of 10,714 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 621 residents (6.2%) relative to the 2021 Census, which registered 10,093 individuals. This trend is calculated from the current resident count of 10,714, which Districts determined by analyzing the ABS ERP figures released in June 2025 alongside 317 newly validated addresses post-Census. With this population size, the suburb of Carseldine has a density of 2,222 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical density across national locations monitored by Districts. The 6.2% post-Census growth rate in the suburb of Carseldine is within 3.0 percentage points of the wider SA4 region's rate of 9.2%, showing competitive growth trends. Recent population increases were largely driven by overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 52.0% of the total demographic gains.

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The suburb of Carseldine features an educated labor force with solid representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of just 3.4%, and an estimated job growth rate of 6.7% over the prior year, based on Districts compilations of local statistical data. In March 2026, 5,980 local residents were employed, while the jobless rate was 0.9% lower than the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 4.3%, and the labor force participation rate closely matched the metropolitan level of 70.4%. Census records show that a moderate 20.9% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may be influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns.

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Based on Districts aggregations of postcode-level ATO tax statistics published for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the suburb of Carseldine recorded a median income of $55,654 and an average income of $66,604. These figures sit slightly below the national averages and compare to Brisbane metropolitan benchmarks of $58,236 and $72,799. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 11.36% since the 2023 financial year, current calculations point to a median income of approximately $61,976 and an average of $74,170 as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed household, family, and individual earnings in the suburb of Carseldine around the 64th percentile nationally. The most prominent income bracket contains 33.9% of households earning between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (comprising residents), which aligns with the metropolitan rate of in this bracket. Housing costs consume of earnings, while strong household income levels place residents in the nd percentile for disposable earnings, and the local SEIFA index ranks the area in the th decile.

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Residential architecture in the suburb of Carseldine at the time of the latest Census consisted of 71.4% detached houses and 28.5% alternative formats like townhouses, apartments, or other structures, compared to metropolitan Brisbane averages of 73.5% and 26.5%. The home ownership rate in the suburb of Carseldine stood higher than the metropolitan average at 35.6%, with remaining households holding a mortgage (35.7%) or renting (28.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment was higher than the Brisbane metro average at $2,000, and the median weekly rent stood at $435, compared to metropolitan averages of $1,863 and $380. On a national scale, mortgage costs exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are higher than the national median of $375.

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Family households represent the bulk of the community at 75.6%, consisting of couples with children at 35.8%, couples without children at 28.2%, and single-parent households at 10.4%. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.4%, with single-person households at 21.4% and group living situations at 3.0%. The median household size of 2.6 residents matches the average for Greater Brisbane.

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The local academic profile is strong compared to the wider region, with university graduation rates at 34.3% among residents aged 15 and over, exceeding both the QLD average of 25.7% and the national rate of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 23.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 7.8% and graduate diplomas at 3.4%. Vocational and technical training is also common, with 29.8% of residents aged 15 and over holding qualification certificates, split between advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 18.1%.

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Analysis of public transit options reveals 31 active passenger stops serving the suburb of Carseldine, consisting of bus services. These stops accommodate 7 separate routes that provide a total of 1,615 passenger journeys each week. Local transit access is rated as favorable, with residents generally living 241 meters from their closest stop. Due to the residential nature of the area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars serving as the primary transport mode for 83% of workers, followed by train travel at 9%. Households average 1.4 vehicles. In addition, 20.9% of workers worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era patterns.

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Health indicators demonstrate positive trends for residents of the suburb of Carseldine, with Districts calculations of mortality and illness rates aligning with national standards. The prevalence of common illnesses is low overall, though higher than national averages among older, higher-risk groups. Private health insurance coverage is slightly above the typical SA2 average, with approximately 54% of the population holding policies, representing about 5,741 people, compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane.

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The suburb of Carseldine displays greater cultural diversity than most local areas, with 25.3% of residents speaking a language other than English at home and 33.8% born overseas. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 55.5% of the population. Hinduism shows a notable local concentration at 6.1%, compared to the Greater Brisbane average of 2.2%.

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The median age of 41 in the suburb of Carseldine is higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and slightly higher than the national figure of 38 years. Compared to the wider metropolitan area, the 75 - 84 age cohort is highly represented at 7.7%, while the 25 - 34 group is underrepresented at 10.7%. Since 2021, the 15 to 24 age bracket has risen from 11.3% to 12.9%, and the 35 to 44 cohort grew from 14.6% to 16.0%. Conversely, residents aged 85 and over decreased from 5.0% to 4.0%. Demographic projections indicate the local age distribution will shift by 2041, with the group aged and over projected to expand by people () from to . The combined cohorts aged and over are expected to make up of the total population increase, emphasizing the aging profile of the area, while the to and to age brackets are projected to contract.

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Carseldine currently has an estimated 535 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 319 children aged 0-2 and 213 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 9% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 13% by 2041 (to approximately 468 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 1,006. Birth rates in the area have averaged 10.1 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.