Dora Creek (NSW)

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According to census-derived address validations by Districts alongside ABS tracking, Dora Creek has a population estimated at 1,835 in May 2026. This indicates a rise of 96 individuals (5.5%) compared to the 1,739 residents recorded during the 2021 Census. This change is calculated using a base of 1,787 residents from ABS ERP statistics from June 2025 combined with 101 new addresses validated after the census. With this population level, the area has a density of 178 persons per square kilometer, which leaves considerable space per resident and opportunity for development. The suburb's 5.5% expansion rate since the 2021 census outpaced the Rest of NSW (4.9%), positioning it as a regional growth leader. The expansion was largely fueled by interstate relocations, which accounted for approximately 90.0% of the total population gains in recent times.

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The local workforce is evenly distributed between professional and manual roles, with a solid base in essential services and an unemployment rate of 6.6%, according to Districts' regional analysis. In March 2026, there were 768 employed locals, representing an unemployment rate 2.5% higher than the Regional NSW average of 4.1%, while the participation rate of 54.1% is lower than the 60.6% seen across Regional NSW. Census data showed that a moderate 23.7% of working residents performed their duties from home, though this figure may have been influenced by pandemic lockdowns.

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Incomes in the suburb of Dora Creek are slightly below the national average according to ATO data compiled by Districts for financial year 2023. The median taxpayer income in the suburb of Dora Creek is $53,956, while the average is $66,547, compared to Regional NSW figures of $52,390 and $65,215. Adjusted for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, estimated figures for March 2026 would be approximately $59,524 for the median and $73,415 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Dora Creek were modest, placing in the 28th to 33rd percentiles. The largest income group contains 30.9% of residents (567 people) earning in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is very similar to the broader region where 29.9% are in this category. Residents retain of their income after paying for housing, which ranks at the th percentile nationally.

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According to the latest Census, residential properties in Dora Creek consisted of 97.4% houses and 2.5% other dwellings like townhouses and apartments, compared to Regional NSW where houses made up 82.6% and other dwellings accounted for 17.4%. Outright home ownership in Dora Creek stood at 47.8%, which is much higher than the Regional NSW average, with the remaining homes either mortgaged (32.5%) or rented (19.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,744 was slightly higher than the Regional NSW average of $1,733, and the median weekly rent of $380 was higher than the regional average of $330. Nationally, mortgage payments in Dora Creek are below the Australian average of $1,863, whereas rental costs exceed the national average of $375.

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Families make up 67.8% of all households, which includes 22.6% couples with children, 32.3% couples without children, and 11.5% single-parent homes. The remaining 32.2% are non-family households, consisting of single-person households at 27.1% and group share houses at 4.1%. The median household size of 2.3 people is slightly below the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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Educational attainment in the area is lower than average, with university degree holders making up 16.1% of the population, compared to the NSW average of 32.2%. This indicates a clear opportunity for targeted educational support. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 9.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.4% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%. Technical and trade credentials are common, with 43.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational qualifications, split between advanced diplomas at 8.4% and certificate level qualifications at 35.0%.

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Public transit analysis shows 20 active transit stops in Dora Creek, consisting of both trains and buses. These stops serve 19 routes that together provide 858 passenger trips each week. Transit accessibility is good, with residents living an average of 367 meters from the nearest stop. Because this is a residential community, most workers commute to other areas, and private vehicles are the primary mode of travel at 93%. Car ownership averages 1.6 vehicles per household. In the 2021 Census, 23.7% of residents worked from home, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.

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Health assessments indicate notable issues in Dora Creek, as shown by Districts' analysis of mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses across both younger and older demographics, while private health insurance coverage is slightly ahead of the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the population, representing about 977 people.

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Cultural diversity is below average in Dora Creek, where 89.0% of residents were born in Australia, 91.5% hold citizenship, and 96.1% speak only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 54.6% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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The median age of 50 in Dora Creek is higher than the Regional NSW median of 43 and the national average of 38. The 55 - 64 age bracket is strongly represented at 16.3% compared to Regional NSW, while the 85+ bracket is lower at 1.3%. This concentration in the 55 - 64 range is higher than the national figure of 11.2%. Since the 2021 Census, younger residents have helped lower the median age by 1.1 years to 50. The 35 to 44 age cohort grew from 9.2% to 11.3% of the population, and the 25 to 34 cohort rose from 10.7% to 12.2%. In contrast, the to cohort fell from to , and the to group decreased from to . By population projections indicate notable demographic shifts in Dora Creek, with the to group expected to grow the most at , adding residents to reach a total of .

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Dora Creek currently has an estimated 75 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 66 children aged 0-2 and 44 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 27% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 49% by 2041 (to approximately 112 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 178. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 11.3 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally.