Long Gully (Vic.)

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According to the analysis of ABS population datasets for the surrounding region, combined with recent addresses validated by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Long Gully has an estimated population of approximately 3,309 as of May 2026. This represents a decline of 111 residents (3.2%) compared to the 2021 Census, when the headcount stood at 3,420 individuals. This shift is deduced from a resident base of 3,275 calculated by Districts using the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025), along with an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. The current population translates to a density of 950 persons per square kilometer, which aligns closely with typical averages recorded across areas evaluated by Districts. Recent population growth in the region was driven almost entirely by overseas migration, which served as the sole source of population increases.

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The workforce of the suburb of Long Gully features a balanced mix of white-collar and blue-collar roles, with a solid representation of essential services. Based on statistical area aggregations by Districts, the unemployment rate stands at 9.5% and estimated job growth reached 1.8% over the past year. In March 2026, there were 1,233 employed residents. The local unemployment rate is 5.9% higher than the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, suggesting potential for labor market improvement, while the participation rate of 51.1% is significantly lower than the 61.1% observed across Regional Vic. Census data indicates that only 10.4% of employed residents worked from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 lockdown restrictions.

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According to the latest ATO statistics aggregated by Districts for the 2023 financial year, taxpayer income levels in the suburb of Long Gully are below the national average. The median income for taxpayers is $38,218 and the average income is $49,989, compared to $50,954 and $62,728 respectively in Regional Vic. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year, estimated figures as of March 2026 would be approximately $41,895 for the median and $54,798 for the average. The 2021 Census placed household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of Long Gully between the 3rd and 9th percentiles nationwide. In terms of income brackets, the $800 - 1,499 range is the most common, accounting for 29.9% of residents (989 people), whereas the surrounding region is dominated by the - bracket at . Financial pressure from housing costs is severe, with residents retaining only of their income, which ranks in the th percentile.

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Data from the latest Census shows that residential properties in the suburb of Long Gully consist of 91.8% detached houses and 8.1% alternative dwellings, such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and other housing types. This compares to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings across Regional Vic. Home ownership rates in the suburb of Long Gully lag behind the broader region at 28.8%, with the remaining properties occupied by households with a mortgage (26.9%) or renters (44.4%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,117 is considerably lower than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $250, compared to $285 in Regional Vic. On a national scale, mortgage commitments are much lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent prices are notably below the national median of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 59.1%, which includes 16.7% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 19.3% single parent families. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 40.9% of households, with lone person households representing 36.3% and group households making up 4.4%. The median household size of 2.2 individuals is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

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The locality demonstrates lower rates of higher education, with university qualification rates at 15.2%, which is significantly below the VIC state average of 33.4%. This highlights an area of focus for educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 10.4%, while postgraduate qualifications and graduate diplomas each account for 2.4%. Vocational and technical skills are highly prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.4% and certificates at 29.5%.

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Public transport services in the suburb of Long Gully include 15 active transit stops. These locations are connected by 6 separate routes, which combine to deliver 927 passenger trips every week. Access to transit is rated favorably, with residents living an average of 273 meters from their nearest stop. The suburb is predominantly residential, leading most working residents to commute out of the area, with private cars being the primary mode of travel for 92% of workers. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.2 cars per household, which is below the regional average. A small portion of the workforce, 10.4%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.

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Analysis of mortality statistics and the prevalence of chronic illnesses by Districts points to notable health challenges within the suburb of Long Gully, impacting both younger and older residents. Additionally, the rate of private health insurance is low, covering approximately 47% of the population (~1,545 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%.

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The suburb of Long Gully has lower levels of cultural diversity relative to wider averages, with citizens making up 85.2% of the population, 89.3% of residents born in Australia, and 92.1% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 37.7% of the population. The most distinct religious overrepresentation is Buddhism, which is practiced by 3.6% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Regional Vic.

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The median age of 37 years in the suburb of Long Gully is notably lower than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and sits close to the national average of 38 years. Residents aged 25 - 34 are highly represented at 18.0%, while the 55 - 64 cohort is smaller at 10.6% relative to Regional Vic. Since 2021, the 25 to 34 age bracket has increased from 14.8% to 18.0% of the population, and the 35 to 44 cohort grew from 11.1% to 12.8%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort fell from 11.1% to 9.5%, and the 85+ group declined from to . Looking forward to demographic forecasts suggest notable changes in the age profile, with the to cohort projected to grow by people () from to while both the to and to age brackets are expected to decrease in size.

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Long Gully currently has an estimated 225 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 116 children aged 0-2 and 77 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 6% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 28% by 2041 (to approximately 287 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 247. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 11.2 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.