Junortoun (Vic.)

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Analysis of ABS population updates for the wider region, alongside new address files validated by Districts since the Census, indicates the population of the suburb of Junortoun is approximately 3,678 as of May 2026. This represents a decline of 184 residents (4.8%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 3,862 residents. This shift is calculated from the resident population of 3,678, estimated by Districts using the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) plus an additional 35 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population size results in a density ratio of 171 persons per square kilometer, offering ample room per person and potential scope for future development. Over the last ten years, the suburb of Junortoun has shown steady expansion with a 1.9% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA4 region. Growth in the suburb of Junortoun was mainly driven by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 64.0% of total gains during recent periods, although all factors including natural growth and overseas migration were positive contributors.

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Junortoun has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors, and an unemployment rate of only 1.2%, according to Districts calculations from statistical area data. As of March 2026, 1,715 residents are employed, which is an unemployment rate 2.5% lower than the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, while workforce participation is slightly below average (59.1% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic.). Census data indicates that a moderate 20.3% of residents worked from home, although the influence of Covid-19 restrictions should be kept in mind.

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Taxpayer income in the suburb of Junortoun is lower than the national average according to the latest ATO data compiled by Districts for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in the suburb of Junortoun is $51,319, while the average income is $61,747, compared to Regional Vic. levels of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Incorporating Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $56,256 (median) and $67,687 (average) as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census data, household income sits at the 76th percentile ($2,170 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 58th percentile. In terms of income brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly band contains 30.3% of the community ( individuals), matching the surrounding region where are also in this range. The high percentage of top earners ( earning more than /week) demonstrates substantial financial resources in the suburb. After housing expenses are met, residents keep of their income, indicating strong spending power, and the area ranks in the th decile on the SEIFA income index.

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Dwelling types in Junortoun at the time of the latest Census consisted of 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings (semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative housing types), compared to Regional Vic.'s profile of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Junortoun was identical to that of Regional Vic. at 42.0%, with the remaining properties being purchased with a mortgage (52.9%) or rented (5.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was significantly higher than the Regional Vic. average at $1,950, while the median weekly rent was $380, compared to Regional Vic. figures of $1,430 and $285. Nationally, Junortoun's mortgage payments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are above the national average of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 81.9%, consisting of 42.7% couples with children, 32.5% couples without children, and 6.2% single parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 18.1%, with single person households at 17.3% and group households representing 0.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

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The educational profile of this locality is highly distinctive within the region, with university qualification rates (30.3% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Rest of Vic. average of 21.7% and the SA4 regional average (25.4%), demonstrating a strong focus on tertiary education. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 20.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational and technical skills are also common, with 34.1% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (22.1%).

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Public transport analysis identifies 15 active stops within Junortoun. These stops are served by 2 separate routes, providing a total of 114 weekly passenger journeys. Accessibility is classified as moderate, with residents living an average of 568 meters from their nearest stop. Because this is a residential suburb, the majority of workers commute to other areas, with private vehicles remaining the primary transport mode at 98%. Average vehicle ownership is 2.0 per household, exceeding the regional average. Additionally, 20.3% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census figures, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions.

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Junortoun displays favorable health statistics based on Districts' evaluation of mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses, with common conditions showing low frequency in the general population and aligning closely with national averages among older, high-risk groups, while private health insurance coverage is relatively low at roughly 51% of the population (~1,886 people).

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Junortoun exhibits a lower level of cultural diversity than average, with 90.9% of residents born in Australia, 93.9% holding citizenship, and 95.5% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, representing 56.1% of the population, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic.

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With a median age of 43, Junortoun matches the Regional Vic. median of 43 and sits significantly above the national average of 38. The age distribution shows that the 5 - 14 age group is highly represented (14.9%), while the 25 - 34 bracket is smaller (6.0%) than in Regional Vic. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort has expanded from 7.6% to 9.4% of the population, and the 15 to 24 group increased from 11.2% to 12.4%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has fallen from 16.1% to 14.9%, and the 55 to group decreased from to . Projections for suggest notable shifts in Junortoun's age profile, led by the to cohort, which is expected to expand by ( people), increasing from to .

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Junortoun currently has an estimated 194 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 139 children aged 0-2 and 91 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 12% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 57% by 2041 (to approximately 305 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 474. Birth rates in the area have averaged 10.3 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally).