Mascot contains 10 Long Day Care centres (718 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (40 places) and 1 OSHC facility (66 places) on a resident basis — though likely far tighter supply once significant daily workforce inflows to the area are considered. Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 1,098 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 1.5 - placing the area above the national average for supply per child on a resident basis, though closer to ~1.7 once estimated daytime workforce inflow is factored in. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 1.5 children per place (upper quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show strong LDC provision for the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with 718 places across 10 facilities serving 663 children while preschool supply is constrained with 1 facility providing 40 places (11.1 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Greater Sydney average of 8.3). With projected population growth of 21.5% between now and 2041, and 7.7% in the under 5 age group in particular, 52 new places will be needed to maintain today's ratios. As well as this projected growth, other drivers of note in the area are high female labour force participation of 66.2%, as well as strong employment performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 3.0 per 100 residents with 690 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. A lower-than-typical rate which suggests pressure might be taken off local services somewhat by school hubs in nearby areas. As expected, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is also lower than average. Out of school hours child care provision is similarly constrained, with 66 places for the 5-12 cohort. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being shorter than average.
15 school catchments intersect Mascot (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 13,824 children aged under 5 reside, served by 12,677 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.1 children per place, with significant variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Mascot and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.