Mernda contains 12 Long Day Care centres (1,359 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (124 places) and 4 OSHC facilities (465 places), with overall provision relative to the local child population appearing favorable compared to national benchmarks, and above the Greater Melbourne average. Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 1,891 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 1.3 - placing the area among the top 30% nationally for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 1.4 children per place (upper quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show strong LDC provision for the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with 1,359 places across 12 facilities serving 1,129 children while preschool supply is constrained with 1 facility providing 124 places (6.1 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6). With projected population growth of 65.5% between now and 2041, and 38.2% in the under 5 age group in particular, 575 new places will be needed to maintain today's ratios. As well as this projected growth, other drivers of note in the area are high female labour force participation of 66.1%.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 14.4 per 100 residents with 3,743 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This above-average concentration of school places suggests the area serves as something of a destination for educational services, which typically supports elevated childcare demand through school run convenience patterns. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Assessment shows low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
12 school catchments intersect Mernda (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 9,473 children aged under 5 reside, served by 10,608 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 0.9 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Mernda and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.