Mornington currently has no childcare facilities operating within its bounds. With projected population growth of 7.3% between now and 2041, and 4.3% in the under 5 age group in particular. As well as this projected growth, other factors worth noting are lower quartile employment and income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 33.8 per 100 residents with 814 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This notably elevated rate of school supply suggests many students travel to the area from beyond the immediate surrounds, typically amplifying local childcare demand given school-run proximity. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being longer than typical nationally.
4 school catchments intersect Mornington (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 1,829 children aged under 5 reside, served by 623 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 2.9 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Mornington and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.