Toukley (NSW)

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Based on demographic assessments of ABS regional updates and address records validated by Districts since the Census, Toukley's population is estimated at around 4,737 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 180 people (3.9%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 4,557 people. The demographic shifts are calculated from a resident population of 4,737, estimated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP release and subsequent address validation. This population size results in a density of 1,287 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical benchmark across national locations tracked by Districts. The 3.9% population increase in Toukley since the 2021 census outpaced the broader SA4 region (3.4%), positioning it as a leading growth area locally. The population growth was almost entirely supported by overseas migration, which served as the exclusive driver of population gains in recent times.

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The local workforce is split between professional and manual labor roles, with a strong presence of public and community services, an unemployment rate of 8.3%, and employment growth estimated at 2.9% over the past year. In March 2026, there were 1,900 employed residents, with the unemployment rate tracking 4.1% higher than the Greater Sydney rate of 4.1%, indicating room for labor market improvement, while workforce participation is low at 50.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 69.1%. Census records show a moderate 22.7% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure may be influenced by lockdown conditions.

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According to tax records from the ATO for the financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Toukley earn a median income of $44,044, with an average income of $52,518. These figures sit below national benchmarks, and compare to a median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to a median of approximately $48,589 and an average of $57,938 as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census data, household, family, and personal incomes in Toukley rank between the 4th and 12th percentiles on a national scale. The local income distribution shows that 30.0% of the community (1,421 individuals) falls within the $400 - 799 weekly earnings bracket, contrasting with the wider metropolitan region where the - bracket is the largest at . Financial pressure from housing is high, leaving only of household income after housing costs, which ranks in the th percentile.

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According to the last Census, the housing stock in Toukley consisted of 71.0% detached houses and 29.1% semi-detached, apartment, or other dwelling types, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across metropolitan Sydney. Home ownership in Toukley was notably high at 33.5%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 23.5% and rental properties making up 43.0% of dwellings. The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,742, while the median weekly rent was $340, which are lower than the Sydney metro figures of $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Toukley's mortgage repayments are below the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are less than the national average of $375.

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Families make up 58.6% of local households, consisting of couples with children at 16.7%, couples without children at 26.2%, and single parent households at 14.6%. The remaining 41.4% are non-family households, which include lone person households at 37.7% and group shared homes at 3.5%. The average household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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Higher education completion is low in the area, with university graduation rates at 12.4% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.4%. Vocational and technical training is highly represented, with 42.6% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, including advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 32.9%.

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The local transport network features 41 active transit stops in Toukley, consisting of bus services. These stops support 28 separate routes that combine to offer 740 weekly passenger trips. Access to public transport is highly convenient, with residents living an average of 164 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, leading to outward commutes, with private vehicles serving as the primary transport mode for 91% of commuters. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.0 per dwelling, which is below the metropolitan average. Additionally, 22.7% of residents work from home according to the 2021 Census, which was influenced by pandemic conditions.

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Health outcomes present challenges in Toukley, where chronic diseases and mortality rates impact multiple age brackets, and the rate of private health insurance coverage is low at approximately 48% of the population (~2,262 people). This is lower than the Greater Sydney rate of 59.9% and the national benchmark of 55.7%.

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The local area has lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with citizens making up 89.0% of the population, 86.5% born in Australia, and 94.8% speaking only English at home. The predominant religious affiliation is Christianity at 55.0%, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 49.2%.

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The median age in Toukley is 47 years, which is older than the Greater Sydney average of 37 years and the national median of 38 years. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented at 14.5% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25 - 34 bracket is less common at 10.9%. The local 65 - 74 cohort is larger than the national average of 9.4%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 9.5% to 11.1%, and the 75 to 84 bracket increased from 9.4% to 11.0%, while the 25 to 34 group fell from to . By the demographic profile is projected to change, with the to cohort expected to grow by (adding residents to total ), and seniors aged + accounting for of total growth. Meanwhile, the to and to age cohorts are projected to decrease.

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Toukley currently has an estimated 246 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 144 children aged 0-2 and 96 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 4% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 12% by 2041 (to approximately 217 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 370. Birth rates in the area have averaged 9.9 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.