Avalon Beach (NSW)

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Following assessment of ABS demographic adjustments for the region and address registrations validated by Districts since the Census, the resident count for the suburb of Avalon Beach is projected to be approximately 10,238 in May 2026. This indicates a contraction of 141 individuals (1.4%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented 10,379 residents. This shift is calculated from a base population of 10,221 estimated by Districts using the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) plus an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 1,988 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical level observed across locations analysed nationally by Districts. Expansion in the resident count was heavily supported by international migration, which accounted for roughly 97.0% of all population additions recently.

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Avalon Beach has a highly qualified labor force, featuring a strong concentration in technology occupations, a low unemployment rate of 3.6%, and estimated annual employment growth of 0.7% based on Districts regional data aggregation. In March 2026, there were 5,467 working residents, and the local jobless rate sat 0.5% lower than the 4.1% recorded across Greater Sydney, while labor force participation was somewhat low at 66.3% compared to 69.1% across the metropolitan area. Census records indicate that a substantial 47.5% of employed residents worked from home, though this figure may reflect pandemic-related restrictions.

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Taxpayer income levels in the suburb of Avalon Beach are exceptionally high on a national scale, based on ATO statistics compiled by Districts for the 2023 financial year. The median taxpayer income is $52,566 and the average income is $118,290, which contrasts with Greater Sydney figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Adjusting for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to a median income of roughly $57,991 and an average income of $130,498 as of March 2026. Census statistics show household, family, and individual incomes all ranking in the upper tier nationally, placing between the 78th and 90th percentiles. Income distribution is led by the $4,000 and over weekly bracket, which contains 30.4% of residents (3,112 people), unlike the broader metropolitan area where the - bracket is largest at . Affluence is notable, with of households earning more than weekly, which underpins premium retail and service businesses. High housing costs account for of income, yet strong earnings keep disposable income in the th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the th decile for income.

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Residential dwelling types in Avalon Beach at the time of the latest Census consisted of 81.4% detached houses and 18.6% alternative structures like townhouses and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% alternative structures across metropolitan Sydney. Home ownership rates were significantly higher than the metropolitan average at 46.2%, while the remaining properties were held with a mortgage (38.1%) or occupied by tenants (15.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $3,250 was much higher than the Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427, and the median weekly rent was $700 compared to the metropolitan median of $470. On a national basis, Avalon Beach mortgage commitments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rent levels are well above the national median of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 78.6%, consisting of couples with children at 39.4%, couples without children at 29.4%, and single-parent households at 9.1%. The remaining 21.4% consists of non-family households, which are dominated by single-person dwellings at 20.0% alongside group households at 1.6%. The median household occupancy is 2.8 people, which is slightly above the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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The educational profile of the area is highly distinguished within the region, with tertiary qualification rates sitting at 38.1% of residents aged 15 and over, compared to the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees represent the most common qualification at 26.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 8.7% and graduate diplomas at 3.2%. Technical and vocational qualifications are also common, with 33.1% of residents aged 15 and over holding credentials such as advanced diplomas (14.3%) or certificates (18.8%).

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Public transport services in Avalon Beach include 97 active stops, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 36 different routes, which together provide 2,275 passenger services each week. Access to transport is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 145 meters from their closest stop. As a major residential enclave, the majority of working residents travel outside the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary commute mode at 88%, while 6% walk. Vehicle ownership rates stand at 1.7 per household, which is higher than the regional average. A significant 47.5% of employed residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era workplace changes.

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Health measures in Avalon Beach reflect excellent outcomes, with Districts assessments indicating low rates of mortality and chronic diseases across all age cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high, held by approximately 74% of the population (7,524 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

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Avalon Beach shows cultural diversity levels similar to the regional average, with 75.9% of residents born in Australia, 91.0% holding citizenship, and 93.5% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 41.6% of residents. The most noticeable relative concentration is in Judaism, which accounts for 0.4% of the local population, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

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The median age in Avalon Beach is 46 years, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national median of 38. Compared to the Greater Sydney distribution, the 65 to 74 age bracket is overrepresented at 13.0%, while the 25 to 34 age bracket is underrepresented at 5.3%. Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.2% to 9.7% of the population, and the 15 to 24 age bracket has risen from 11.9% to 13.7%. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 14.4% to 12.9%, and the 35 to age bracket fell from to . Demographic projections for point to significant changes, with the cohort aged and over expected to rise by people () from to . The aging profile is evident as residents aged and over account for the entirety of the projected growth, while the to and to brackets are projected to experience declines.

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Avalon Beach currently has an estimated 409 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 221 children aged 0-2 and 148 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 14% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 23% by 2041 (to approximately 316 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 950. Birth rates in the area have averaged 6.7 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a low rate (among the bottom 20% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.