Gymea Bay contains 3 Long Day Care centres (147 places) and 1 OSHC facility (180 places), while overall provision relative to the local child population appears limited compared to national benchmarks, and is below the Greater Sydney average. With no preschool/kindergarten services observed in the area, only long day care, the ratio of children per place for the under 5 age group is 2.8 - placing the area among the bottom 30% nationally for supply per child. To meet the Greater Sydney average 60 new places would be required (LDC+PSK to service the under 5 age group). Meanwhile, projected population decline of 11.7% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are high female labour force participation of 64.3%, as well as upper quartile employment and income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 10.3 per 100 residents with 745 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This middle-of-the-road rate of school supply suggests most local students are residents within the immediate area. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Rather unsurprisingly, out of school hours child care - serving school age children - was found to be much more abundant than other service types in the area. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being shorter than average. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
6 school catchments intersect Gymea Bay (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 3,110 children aged under 5 reside, served by 2,113 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.5 children per place, with moderate variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Gymea Bay and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.