Junction Hill (NSW)

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According to evaluations of ABS demographic updates covering the surrounding region alongside new addresses verified by Districts subsequent to the Census, Junction Hill is home to approximately 1,620 residents as of May 2026. This represents a rise of 73 individuals (4.7%) from the 1,547 citizens counted during the 2021 Census. The updated figure is deduced from a resident headcount of 1,617, which was calculated by Districts using the ABS population data release from June 2025 combined with 46 new addresses verified after the Census. This headcount translates to a density of 225 persons per square kilometer, indicating low-density living and potential capacity for future residential growth. The suburb of Junction Hill outpaced the broader SA4 region's growth rate of 4.6% since the 2021 census, positioning it as a leading growth area in the vicinity. The upward population trajectory was chiefly propelled by arrivals from other states, which accounted for roughly 67.0% of the total demographic growth in recent times.

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Junction Hill possesses a qualified workforce with a strong presence in public service and essential industries, showing an unemployment rate of 4.2% and annual job growth estimated at 2.5% according to aggregated statistical data. In March 2026, the employed resident workforce numbered 612, with the unemployment rate sitting 0.1% higher than the Regional NSW average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is considerably lower at 48.3% compared to the regional benchmark of 60.6%. Data from the Census indicates that only 8.9% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of COVID-19 restrictions.

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Taxpayer statistics compiled by Districts for the financial year 2023 indicate that incomes in Junction Hill are below the national average. The median income for local taxpayers is $48,421 and the average income is $57,103, compared to Regional NSW averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Adjusting these figures for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since the financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of approximately $53,418 for the median and $62,996 for the average as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the area fell between the 22nd and 23rd percentiles nationally. The most common weekly earnings bracket is $800 - 1,499, accounting for 30.0% of residents (486 individuals), which contrasts with the broader metropolitan area where the - bracket is largest at . Although housing expenses are low, leaving residents with of their income, total disposable household income is positioned at the th percentile nationally.

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According to the latest Census, the local housing mix consisted of 94.5% freestanding homes and 5.5% alternative dwelling types, such as townhouses and units, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% alternative dwellings across Regional NSW. Home ownership rates were high, with 50.2% of homes owned outright, while the remaining properties were mortgaged (30.1%) or occupied by tenants (19.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,528, which is lower than the Regional NSW average of $1,733, while the median weekly rent was $350 compared to the regional median of $330. Nationally, mortgage costs in the area are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent is below the national average of $375.

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Families comprise the majority of households at 76.1%, consisting of couples with children at 25.6%, couples without children at 39.6%, and single parent households at 9.9%. The remaining 23.9% consists of non-family households, with single person households accounting for 20.0% and group households making up 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, matching the Regional NSW average.

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The region exhibits lower rates of higher education, with 17.1% of residents holding university qualifications compared to the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 11.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational and technical skills are highly represented, with 41.5% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications from trade schools, including advanced diplomas at 10.8% and certificates at 30.7%.

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Analysis of the local network shows 12 active public transit stops within Junction Hill, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected to 10 routes that provide 118 weekly passenger services. Access to transit is favorable, with residents living an average of 202 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and the vast majority of commuters travel outside the area for work, with private vehicles remaining the dominant mode of travel at 99%. Households own an average of 1.5 vehicles. A relatively low proportion of the workforce (8.9%) worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

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Local health profiles indicate challenges regarding mortality rates and the occurrence of chronic illnesses, with ongoing conditions reported across both younger and older cohorts, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is low at approximately 50% of the population (~802 people). This compares to 51.9% for Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

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Junction Hill has low levels of cultural diversity, with 94.9% of residents born in Australia, 94.6% holding citizenship, and 97.2% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 64.4% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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The median age in Junction Hill is 46, which is older than the Regional NSW median of 43 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age group is highly represented at 15.9% of the population, while the 15 - 24 age bracket is less common at 9.2%. The concentration of residents aged 65 - 74 is higher than the national benchmark of 9.4%. Post-2021 Census figures show the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 8.3% to 10.3% of the population, while the 65 to 74 group has decreased from 16.9% to 15.9%. By 2041, demographic shifts are expected to alter the age structure, with the to age bracket projected to grow by ( people) to reach from while the to and to brackets are projected to decline.

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Junction Hill currently has an estimated 111 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 61 children aged 0-2 and 40 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 11% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 16% by 2041 (to approximately 129 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 167. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 11.6 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.