Lavington (NSW)

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Lavington has an estimated population of approximately 13,399 as of May 2026, calculated from ABS regional updates and address tracking by Districts. This represents a 2.5% increase, or 326 more residents, compared to the 13,073 people recorded during the 2021 Census. The calculation is based on an estimated resident population of 13,290 derived from the ABS June 2025 ERP data release, combined with an additional 287 validated new addresses identified since the census date. The area has a density of 906 persons per square kilometer, which aligns with typical levels recorded by Districts. The local growth rate of 2.5% since the census is within 2.4 percentage points of the Rest of NSW average of 4.9%, showing competitive local trends. Overseas arrivals were the main contributor to these demographic gains, accounting for roughly 63.0% of the overall population growth in recent times.

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Lavington has a diverse workforce that includes both professional and trade roles, with a strong presence in essential services. The local unemployment rate stands at 8.1%, according to aggregated statistical area statistics. As of March 2026, there are 6,396 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 4.0% higher than the rate of 4.1% seen across Regional NSW, indicating room for labor market improvement. Workforce participation is typical for the region, sitting at 62.7% compared to 60.6% in Regional NSW. Census data indicates that a low proportion of residents, 6.7%, worked from home, although this figure was likely influenced by pandemic restrictions.

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Taxpayer data from the ATO for the 2023 financial year shows Lavington had a median individual income of $47,688 and an average income of $52,735. These figures are below national benchmarks and compare to a median of $52,390 and an average of $65,215 across Regional NSW. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, estimated incomes as of March 2026 are approximately $52,609 for the median and $58,177 for the average. Census data places household, family, and individual incomes in Lavington between the 9th and 19th percentiles nationwide. The largest income bracket contains 28.5% of taxpayers (3,818 residents) earning $1,500 - 2,999 per week, which is similar to the wider region where 29.9% fall into this range. Affordability pressures are high, with residents retaining only of their income, placing the area in the th percentile for disposable income.

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At the time of the last Census, the housing mix in Lavington consisted of 75.8% detached houses and 24.3% alternative housing types, such as apartments and semi-detached properties, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings across Regional NSW. Home ownership rates lagged the regional average, sitting at 31.0%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (27.9%) or renting (41.1%). The median mortgage payment was $1,257 per month and the median weekly rent was $250, both below the Regional NSW averages of $1,733 and $330. Nationally, local housing costs are also lower, with mortgage payments well under the Australian median of $1,863 and rent significantly below the national median of $375.

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Families make up 59.0% of all households, consisting of couples with children at 20.0%, couples without children at 24.0%, and single parent families at 13.9%. The remaining 41.0% are non-family households, which are mostly lone person households at 37.0% alongside group households at 3.9% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 residents, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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Higher education rates in the area are lower than average, with university graduation rates at 13.6% compared to the state average of 32.2%. This gap presents an opportunity for targeted local educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 9.3%, with postgraduate degrees at 2.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.4%. Vocational and technical qualifications are common, with 41.3% of residents aged 15 and over holding a trade qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.8% and certificates at 31.5%.

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There are 217 active public transport stops in Lavington, consisting of various bus services. These stops support 49 different routes that run a combined 1,559 passenger trips each week. Transport access is high, with residents living an average of 135 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and 94% of commuting residents travel by car. Private vehicle ownership averages 1.1 cars per dwelling, which is lower than the regional average. A low proportion of residents, 6.7%, worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

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Health indicators point to challenges in Lavington, with notable rates of chronic illness and mortality across different age groups. The level of private health insurance is low, with approximately 48% of the population (~6,411 people) covered. This rate is lower than the Regional NSW average of 51.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

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Cultural diversity in Lavington is consistent with regional averages, with citizens making up 85.5% of the population, 83.6% of residents born in Australia, and 87.1% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, practiced by 49.8% of the population. A notable difference is in the Other category, which accounts for 2.8% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional NSW.

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The median age of residents is 40 years, which is slightly lower than the Regional NSW average of 43 but above the national median of 38. The 25 - 34 age group is larger than the regional average, accounting for 15.1% of the population, while the 55 - 64 age group is smaller at 11.3%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 increased from 13.5% to 15.1%, while the 55 to 64 group decreased from 12.1% to 11.3%. Projections for 2041 suggest changing demographics, with the 25 to 34 group expected to grow by 638 people () from to while the to and to groups are expected to decrease in size.

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Lavington currently has an estimated 790 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 472 children aged 0-2 and 314 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 1% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 22% by 2041 (to approximately 963 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 1,246. Birth rates in the area have averaged 12.3 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a high rate (among the top 30% of areas assessed nationally).