Minmi (NSW)

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Drawing from Australian Bureau of Statistics population updates for the wider region and new addresses confirmed by Districts following the Census, the suburb of Minmi has an estimated population of 1,851 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 1,151 people (164.4%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 700 residents. This shift is calculated from a resident population of 1,843, which Districts estimated using the ABS Estimated Resident Population numbers from June 2025 alongside an additional 133 validated new addresses registered since the Census. With this population level, the local density stands at 206 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density with potential space for future construction. The 164.4% expansion rate of the suburb of Minmi since the 2021 census outpaced the Rest of NSW (4.9%) and the surrounding SA4 region, establishing it as a regional growth leader. This population rise was mostly propelled by natural increase, which made up roughly 46.0% of the overall population growth in recent times, though net interstate and overseas migration also registered positive gains.

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The local workforce is evenly divided between professional and trade occupations, with construction workers particularly well represented. The area has an unemployment rate of only 1.0% and experienced an estimated employment expansion of 14.1% over the past year, according to Districts statistical area data. In March 2026, 1,133 residents were employed. The unemployment rate is 3.1% below the 4.1% rate seen in Regional NSW, and workforce participation is exceptionally high at 78.7% compared to 60.6% across Regional NSW. Census data indicates that a moderate 16.5% of workers commuted from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic lockdowns.

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Based on aggregated postcode-level ATO records compiled by Districts for the 2023 financial year, residents in the suburb of Minmi have a median taxpayer income of $47,637 and an average income of $56,170. These figures are below the national benchmarks and contrast with Regional NSW's median of $52,390 and average of $65,215. Adjusting these values for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year yields updated estimates of approximately $52,553 for the median and $61,967 for the average as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes cluster near the 52nd percentile nationally. Income distribution figures show the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is the most common, accounting for 35.9% of residents (664 people), which compares to 29.9% of households in the wider metropolitan area. Although high housing costs absorb of income, strong earnings keep disposable income at the th percentile.

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At the time of the most recent Census, the local housing mix consisted of 97.8% detached houses and 2.2% other housing options such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or alternative dwellings, compared to Regional NSW where houses comprised 82.6% and other dwellings made up 17.4%. Home ownership rates lagged the wider region, with 27.8% of residents owning their properties outright, while the remaining homes were mortgaged (58.3%) or rented (13.9%). The median monthly mortgage payment was recorded at $1,950, which sits well above the Regional NSW median of $1,733. Similarly, the median weekly rent was $400, compared to $330 in Regional NSW. On a national level, mortgage repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rent prices are higher than the national figure of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households at 83.1%, consisting of couples with children at 42.4%, couples without children at 26.4%, and single-parent homes at 14.3%. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.9%, with single-person households representing 15.6% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household size stands at 2.9 people, which is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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The region shows lower rates of higher education, with university qualification rates at 13.7%, which is well below the NSW state average of 32.2%. This situation presents both a demographic challenge and a potential target for educational investment. Among university qualifications, bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.7% and graduate diplomas at 1.2%. Vocational skills are highly prevalent, with 41.6% of residents aged 15 and over holding trade qualifications, comprising advanced diplomas at 9.2% and certificates at 32.4%.

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An analysis of public transport reveals 14 active bus stops operating in Minmi. These stops service 24 distinct routes, delivering a total of 520 passenger trips each week. Transport connection is rated as good, with residents living an average of 202 meters from their nearest stop. Because this is a residential suburb, the majority of workers travel outside the area to work, with cars being the sole transport mode at 100%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average. A total of 16.5% of workers worked from home at the time of the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic restrictions.

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Assessments of mortality rates and chronic disease indicators by Districts suggest notable health difficulties, with common illnesses present across both youth and elderly demographics. The rate of private health insurance is relatively low, covering approximately 49% of the population (~910 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

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The demographic profile shows lower levels of cultural diversity, with 92.5% of residents born in Australia, 97.4% holding citizenship, and 98.5% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, practiced by 51.2% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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With a median age of 34, Minmi's population is significantly younger than the Regional NSW average of 43 and the national average of 38. Compared to Regional NSW, the 15 - 24 age bracket is notably larger at 14.9%, while the 65 - 74 age group is smaller at 7.3%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 11.8% to 15.1% of the population, and the 25 to 34 group has risen from 13.4% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 group fell from 12.2% to 10.0%, and the 5 to 14 cohort declined from to . Demographic models indicate the local age profile will adjust by with the to cohort projected to expand by people () from to while the to cohort is expected to grow by a modest ( people).

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Minmi currently has an estimated 116 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 74 children aged 0-2 and 49 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 170% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 20% by 2041 (to approximately 139 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 218. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been low, with approximately 6.4 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the bottom 20% of areas assessed nationally.