Holmesville (NSW)

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Analyzing ABS demographic updates for the wider region and new address logs verified by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Holmesville is calculated to have approximately 1,544 inhabitants as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 131 residents (9.3%) compared to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 1,413 individuals. The shift is derived from the resident count of 1,543, calculated by Districts using the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) and an additional 79 validated new addresses added after the Census. This population level corresponds to a density of 908 persons per square kilometer, which aligns closely with the typical standards observed across areas evaluated by Districts. The 9.3% expansion rate of the suburb of Holmesville since the 2021 census outpaced the Rest of NSW (4.9%) and the SA4 region, positioning it as a local growth frontrunner. Natural increase was the primary catalyst for population growth in the area, accounting for roughly of the overall population rise in recent times.

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The locality possesses a balanced labor force distributed across professional and industrial roles, with the building sector showing exceptionally strong representation, alongside an unemployment rate of 5.2%, according to Districts' aggregation of local statistical data. As of March 2026786 local citizens are employed, with the unemployment level sitting 1.1% higher than the Regional NSW benchmark of 4.1%, while workforce participation is relatively typical (64.7% compared to 60.6% in Regional NSW). According to Census statistics, a moderate 13.9% of employees performed their duties from home, though the influence of Covid-19 restrictions must be kept in mind.

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According to Districts' aggregation of the latest postcode-level ATO statistics published for financial year 2023, tax-paying residents of the locality recorded a median income of $51,168 and an average income of $57,885. These figures sit below the national benchmarks and compare to median and average levels of $52,390 and $65,215 across Regional NSW, respectively. Adjusted for a Wage Price Index increase of 10.32% since financial year 2023, contemporary estimates point to roughly $56,449 (median) and $63,859 (average) as of March 2026. 2021 Census data indicates that household weekly income ranks at the 58th percentile ($1,884 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 37th percentile. The records show that 38.3% of the community (591 citizens) are situated in the $1,500 - income bracket, which is consistent with regional patterns where of the population fall into this same band. After meeting housing costs, households retain of their earnings, indicating healthy spending capacity.

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Residential architecture in the locality, as recorded during the most recent Census, consisted of 99.4% detached houses and 0.6% alternative dwellings (such as duplexes, units, or other housing formats), compared to Regional NSW where detached houses represent 82.6% and alternative dwellings make up 17.4%. At the same time, the rate of home ownership in the locality trailed the Regional NSW standard slightly, standing at 37.5%, with the remaining properties occupied under a mortgage (48.1%) or rented (14.4%). The median monthly home loan payment matched the Regional NSW standard at $1,733, whereas the median weekly rent was registered at $390, compared to Regional NSW benchmarks of $1,733 and $330. On a national scale, mortgage commitments in the locality are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rental costs sit above the national benchmark of $375.

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Families comprise the vast majority of households at 83.6%, consisting of couples with children at 39.0%, couples without children at 27.3%, and single parent households at 14.5%. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.4%, with individuals living alone representing 15.3% and group arrangements making up 1.2% of the total. The median household occupancy of 2.9 individuals exceeds the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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The locality displays low levels of tertiary education, with university graduation rates (9.5%) falling significantly below the NSW state average of 32.2%. This represents a key area for targeted educational strategies. Bachelor degrees represent the largest cohort at 6.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational and technical training are highly represented, with 44.1% of citizens aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (7.9%) and certificates (36.2%).

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Public transport data shows 20 transit stops operating in the locality, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected by 21 separate routes, which combine to deliver 448 weekly passenger trips. Transit access is classified as outstanding, with residents typically living 119 meters away from the nearest stop. Given the residential nature of the suburb, most workers travel outside the area to work, and private vehicles are the primary choice of transport at 97%. Household vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per home, exceeding regional norms. Approximately 13.9% of workers commute from home (based on the 2021 Census, which may show the influence of pandemic conditions).

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Public health records indicate notable challenges for the locality, based on Districts' evaluation of death rates and the frequency of long-term illnesses, with common ailments appearing frequently across both younger and older cohorts, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is relatively low at approximately 50% of the population (~769 individuals), compared to a national average of 55.7%.

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The locality shows lower levels of cultural variety than average, with 94.0% of residents born within Australia, 94.6% holding citizenship, and 96.9% using only English at home. The predominant religious affiliation in the locality is Christianity, representing 48.9% of the population, compared to 55.9% recorded across Regional NSW.

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Recording a median age of 38, the locality is younger than the Regional NSW median of 43 but matches the national average of 38. The 25 - 34 age bracket is highly represented at 16.0% compared to Regional NSW, whereas residents aged 85+ are less common at 0.6%. Following the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 3.3% to 5.9% of the population, and the 25 to 34 age bracket rose from 14.3% to 16.0%. By contrast, the 5 to 14 cohort contracted from 12.9% to 11.5%, and the 45 to 54 bracket fell from to . Demographic forecasts suggest the age profile of the locality will shift noticeably by . Driven by this demographic transition, the to group is projected to expand by ( individuals), rising from to . Meanwhile, the count of residents in the to age bracket is projected to decline by .

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Holmesville currently has an estimated 88 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 60 children aged 0-2 and 41 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 19% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 33% by 2041 (to approximately 117 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 142. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 14.1 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally.