Tullimbar (NSW)

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The suburb of Tullimbar has an estimated population of 2,905 as of May 2026, calculated from ABS regional population metrics and recent address validations by Districts since the Census. Compared to the 1,840 individuals recorded in the 2021 Census, this represents a gain of 1,065 people, or a 57.9% rise. This update is derived from a resident baseline of 2,795 estimated by Districts using the June 2025 ABS ERP publication, combined with 335 newly verified addresses since the Census date. The suburb of Tullimbar has a population density of 627 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density with potential for future residential growth. The 57.9% growth rate since the 2021 Census outpaced both the Rest of NSW (4.9%) and the local SA4 region, establishing the suburb of Tullimbar as a regional growth leader. Population increases were primarily supported by interstate arrivals, which accounted for approximately 79.0% of the overall gains, though births and overseas arrivals also contributed positively.

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The local workforce is characterized by high skill levels and a strong representation in essential service industries, maintaining an unemployment rate of 3.7% and recording a 6.7% expansion in employment over the past year. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 1,566, with the local unemployment rate sitting 0.4% below the Regional NSW average of 4.1%. Workforce participation is high at 76.8%, compared to the Regional NSW average of 60.6%. Census data indicates that 27.9% of residents worked from home, a figure that may be influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns.

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Based on aggregated ATO postcode statistics for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the suburb of Tullimbar recorded a median income of $62,211 and an average income of $72,708. These figures exceed the national average and compare to regional benchmarks of $52,390 (median) and $65,215 (average) across Regional NSW. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current income estimates as of March 2026 are approximately $68,631 for the median and $80,211 for the average. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of Tullimbar ranked between the 77th and 79th percentiles nationally. The largest income bracket contains 42.8% of local taxpayers (1,243 people) earning between $1,500 and compared to in the broader region. Housing costs account for of incomes, but strong overall earnings keep disposable income at the th percentile, while the SEIFA index places the area in the th decile for income.

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At the time of the last Census, the housing mix in the suburb of Tullimbar consisted of 86.1% standalone houses and 13.9% semi-detached properties, apartments, or other dwellings, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% alternative dwellings in Regional NSW. Home ownership was lower than the regional average at 23.0%, with the remaining dwellings occupied by mortgage holders (56.9%) or tenants (20.2%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $2,383, which is higher than the Regional NSW average of $1,733, while the median weekly rent was $520, compared to the regional figure of $330. Nationally, mortgage repayments in the suburb of Tullimbar exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are higher than the national median of $375.

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Family households represent the vast majority of homes at 85.4%, consisting of couples with children at 43.1%, couples without children at 29.0%, and single parent households at 12.3%. Non-family households account for the remaining 14.6%, with single-person households representing 13.4% and group households making up 1.3%. The median household size of 2.9 individuals is larger than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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The suburb of Tullimbar exhibits lower tertiary qualification levels than the state overall, with 22.1% of residents holding university degrees compared to a NSW average of 32.2%. Among these qualifications, bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.5% and graduate diplomas at 2.6%. Vocational and technical training is highly represented, with 46.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding qualifications, comprising advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 34.2%.

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There are 11 public transport stops in the suburb of Tullimbar, operating a combination of bus services. These stops are served by 5 distinct routes that run a total of 146 weekly passenger trips. Access to transit is highly rated, with residents living an average of 174 meters from the nearest stop. Because the area is mostly residential, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary travel mode for 97% of commuters. Average vehicle ownership is 1.7 cars per household, exceeding the regional average. A high proportion of residents, 27.9%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era workplace arrangements.

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Health indicators in the suburb of Tullimbar point to below-average outcomes, based on mortality and chronic illness rates analyzed by Districts. General illness rates are typical overall but run higher than national averages in older brackets, while private health insurance coverage is high, representing approximately 56% of the population (~1,616 people) compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW.

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Cultural diversity metrics in the suburb of Tullimbar are below average, with 86.2% of residents born in Australia, 92.8% holding citizenship, and 92.4% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 54.8% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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The median age in the suburb of Tullimbar is 32 years, which is lower than the Regional NSW average of 43 and the national average of 38. Compared to Regional NSW, there is a higher concentration of residents aged 25 - 34 (17.8%) and a lower proportion of those aged 55 - 64 (6.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age bracket has risen from 16.2% to 18.1% of the population, while the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 15.2% to 14.4%. Projections to 2041 indicate demographic shifts, led by the 35 to 44 age bracket, which is expected to grow by ( people) to reach from a baseline of .

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Tullimbar currently has an estimated 287 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 131 children aged 0-2 and 88 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 53% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 41% by 2041 (to approximately 406 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 334. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 16.0 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally.