Tumbarumba (NSW)

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Based on demographic assessments of ABS regional updates and newly registered addresses verified by Districts since the latest Census, the suburb of Tumbarumba has an estimated population of 1,967 as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 52 residents (2.7%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 1,915 individuals. This adjustment is calculated from the resident population of 1,967, determined by Districts after examining the June 2025 ERP release by the ABS and factoring in 39 verified new addresses since the Census. This population level represents a density of 8.5 persons per square kilometer, which ensures a spacious lifestyle for local residents. The suburb of Tumbarumba recorded a 2.7% expansion rate since the 2021 census, outpacing both the SA3 territory (0.5%) and the wider SA4 region to lead local population growth. The upward trend was primarily propelled by arrivals from overseas, who accounted for about of the overall population increases in the latest periods.

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The local workforce exhibits a balanced mix of professional and industrial roles, with manufacturing and industrial sectors playing a key role, alongside a low unemployment rate of 3.1% according to statistical data aggregated by Districts. In March 2026862 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 1.0% below the Regional NSW average of 4.1%, though the rate of participation in the labor force is notably low at 53.2% compared to 60.6% for Regional NSW. Census records indicate that a minor 7.6% of residents performed their jobs from home, although this may have been influenced by pandemic containment measures.

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Taxpayer data from the ATO aggregated by Districts shows a median income of $46,741 and an average income of $56,360 for the 2023 financial year. These figures sit below the national benchmarks, comparing to a median of $52,390 and an average of $65,215 across Regional NSW. Factoring in WPI growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current values are estimated at approximately $51,565 for the median and $62,176 for the average as of March 2026. According to the Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the locality fall between the 17th and 24th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly band accounts for 29.8% of residents (586 individuals), which matches the metro region where 29.9% are in this category. Housing costs are relatively low, leaving residents with of their income, but overall disposable income levels sit at the rd percentile nationally.

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An analysis of dwelling types from the latest Census shows that separate houses made up 96.7% of local properties, while 3.3% were other structures like townhouses or apartments, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings across Regional NSW. Home ownership levels were high at 46.1%, with mortgaged properties making up 28.2% and rental homes accounting for 25.7% of the total. The median monthly mortgage payment was low at $1,165, while the median weekly rent stood at $220, compared to Regional NSW averages of $1,733 and $330 respectively. Nationally, local mortgage commitments are well below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also significantly lower than the national figure of $375.

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Families comprise the majority of households at 68.5%, consisting of couples with children at 20.6%, couples without children at 35.0%, and single-parent households at 12.3%. Non-family households represent the remaining 31.5%, with single-person households at 30.0% and group housing making up 1.4%. The median household size of 2.3 individuals is slightly smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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Academic attainment levels present some difficulties, with university graduation rates at 13.9%, which is well below the state average of 32.2%. This creates both a challenge and an opportunity for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 10.5%, followed by graduate diplomas at 1.8% and postgraduate degrees at 1.6%. Technical qualifications are common, with 38.5% of residents aged 15 and over holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 8.1% and certificates at 30.4%.

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Public transport studies show 78 transit stops operating within the suburb of Tumbarumba, featuring a combination of rail and bus options. These stops are served by 14 separate routes, which provide a total of 1,243 passenger trips each week. Transport access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 209 meters from their closest stop. Because the suburb of Tumbarumba is primarily residential, most workers travel outside the area, with private cars being the main transit choice at 90%, and 8% of residents walking to work. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.5 cars per household. A relatively low 7.6% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.

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Health assessments indicate notable difficulties in the area, based on Districts research into mortality and chronic illness rates across both younger and older residents, with private health insurance coverage sitting at a relatively low rate of approximately 49% of the community (~969 people). This compares to a coverage rate of 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

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The local community displays a relatively low level of cultural diversity, with citizens making up 90.2% of the population, 90.6% born in Australia, and 96.5% using only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 63.8% of residents, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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With a median age of 47 years, the local population is significantly older than the Regional NSW average of 43 and the national average of 38. The age distribution shows a high concentration of residents in the 65 - 74 bracket (16.6%), whereas the 25 - 34 bracket is smaller (7.9%) than the regional average. The proportion of people aged 65 - 74 is much higher than the national figure of 9.4%. Since 2021, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 13.7% to 16.6% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 9.1% to 11.1%. In contrast, the 55 to group declined from to , and the to group dropped from to . By significant changes in the age mix are expected. The to group is projected to expand by ( people), growing from to . This aging trend is clear, with residents aged and over accounting for of all projected population growth, while declines are projected for the to and to brackets.

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Tumbarumba currently has an estimated 88 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 55 children aged 0-2 and 35 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 19% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 2% by 2041 (to approximately 86 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 166. Birth rates in the area have averaged 8.4 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (among the bottom 30% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.