East Side contains 1 Long Day Care centre (42 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (31 places) and 1 OSHC facility (20 places), while overall provision relative to the local child population appears limited compared to national benchmarks, and is below the Regional NT average. Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 222 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 3.5 - placing the area among the bottom 20% nationally for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 6.2 children per place (lower quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show an undersupply of LDC places across the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with just 42 places across 1 facility serving a total of 155 children while preschool supply is similarly constrained with 1 facility providing 31 places (3.4 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Regional NT average of 1.7). To meet the Regional NT average 28 new places would be required (LDC+PSK to service the under 5 age group). Meanwhile, with projected population growth of 16.1% between now and 2041, and 8.6% in the under 5 age group in particular. As well as this projected growth, other drivers of note in the area are high female labour force participation of 71.4%, as well as upper quartile employment and income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 10.9 per 100 residents with 412 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This middle-of-the-road rate of school supply suggests most local students are residents within the immediate area. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Out of school hours child care provision is similarly constrained, with 20 places for the 5-12 cohort. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being longer than typical nationally. Another finding worth noting is the low level of commercial activity in the area and assessment of local working populations which suggest many of the local population commute elsewhere for work with nearby services potentially taking some pressure off local child care centres.
3 school catchments intersect East Side (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 1,165 children aged under 5 reside, served by 716 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.6 children per place, with moderate variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between East Side and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.