Gables (NSW)

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Based on local ABS demographic adjustments and validated addresses registered by Districts since the Census, the suburb of Gables has a projected population of approximately 9,111 for May 2026. This represents a expansion of 5,772 residents (172.9%) from the 2021 Census baseline of 3,339 citizens. This shift is calculated from a base resident count of 7,646, calculated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP data release, combined with an extra 1,656 new addresses confirmed since the Census. Such figures result in a density of 1,488 persons per square kilometer, which exceeds typical national benchmarks compiled by Districts. The growth rate of 172.9% since the 2021 census eclipsed the NSW state level (7.1%) and the Greater Sydney region, positioning the area as a major growth hotspot. Interstate relocation was the main driver, accounting for roughly 90.0% of the expansion, though natural increase and migration from overseas also contributed positively.

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The local workforce exhibits high levels of education with notable representation in professional sectors, alongside an unemployment rate of only 2.8% according to Districts data. There are 4,206 employed residents as of March 2026, keeping local unemployment 1.3% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%. Labor participation is also elevated at 78.9% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census responses indicated that a substantial 50.6% of workers worked from home, though this figure reflects the influence of pandemic lockdowns.

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ATO postcode data released for financial year 2023 shows Gables has a median taxpayer income of $69,498 and an average of $81,929. This is highly ranked nationally, compared to a median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 stand at roughly $76,670 for median and $90,384 for average incomes. The 2021 Census placed household, family, and individual incomes for the suburb between the 95th and 98th percentiles nationally. Weekly earnings of $4,000 or more are received by 30.7% of the population (2,797 people), whereas the broader region is characterized by 30.9% earning between $1,500 and $2,999. With 55.2% of households earning more than $3,000/week, the area shows strong financial capacity. Although high housing costs consume 20.0% of earnings, disposable income remains in the 96th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 10th decile.

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According to the last Census, residential housing in Gables consisted of 96.5% standalone houses and 3.4% other dwelling types like townhouses and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings in Greater Sydney. Outright home ownership in Gables was low at 9.2%, with the majority of properties being mortgaged (71.7%) or rented (19.1%). The median mortgage payment was $3,200 monthly, compared to $2,427 across Greater Sydney. Rents were also higher, with a median of $600 weekly compared to the regional median of $470. These local housing costs are significantly higher than the Australian median mortgage of $1,863 and median rent of $375.

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Families make up 93.5% of local households, consisting of couples with children at 65.2%, couples without children at 19.0%, and single-parent households at 7.9%. Non-family households account for the remaining 6.5%, including lone persons at 6.8% and group households at 0.5%. The median household size of 3.4 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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Educational attainment in the area is high, with 45.0% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% across NSW. Bachelor degrees are held by 29.8% of the cohort, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 12.4% and graduate diplomas at 2.8%. Vocational education is also common, with 29.4% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (16.8%).

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Analysis of transit options shows 42 bus stops operating within the suburb of Gables. These stops service 42 separate routes, which provide 2,062 weekly services. Transport access is rated favorably, with residents living an average of 229 meters from a transit stop. As a residential area, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private cars being the primary mode for 86% of commuters, and trains used by 9%. Average car ownership is 1.9 vehicles per household, which is above the metropolitan average. A high 50.6% of working residents worked from home during the 2021 Census, which was likely affected by pandemic conditions.

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Health profiles for Gables are very positive, showing low rates of chronic conditions and mortality across all demographic groups. Private health insurance coverage is high, with 59% of the population (5,400 people) holding cover.

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The local community is culturally diverse, with 39.0% of residents born outside Australia and 39.5% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the most common religion at 52.5%. Hinduism is also highly represented at 13.6% of the population, which is notably higher than the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

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The median age in the suburb of Gables is 32 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38. The suburb has a higher proportion of children aged 5 - 14 (22.3%) than Greater Sydney, but fewer young adults aged 25 - 34 (9.6%). This 5 - 14 cohort is also well above the national rate of 12.0%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket has risen from 10.2% to 13.6% of the population, and the 5 to 14 cohort grew from 19.5% to 22.3%. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 age bracket decreased from 16.0% to 9.6% and the 0 to 4 group declined from 10.3% to 6.0%. Demographic projections indicate the age profile will change by 2041, with the 15 to 24 group projected to grow by 469%, adding 5,811 residents to reach 7,051.

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Gables currently has an estimated 546 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 467 children aged 0-2 and 310 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 59% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 79% by 2041 (to approximately 979 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 1,428. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 19.6 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally.