Gracemere (Qld)

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Drawing on ABS population revisions for the broader district and subsequent address validations conducted by Districts, the suburb of Gracemere has an estimated residency of roughly 12,940 individuals in May 2026. This represents an addition of 917 residents (7.6%) compared to the 2021 Census, which documented 12,023 citizens. This shift is derived from a resident headcount of 12,934 calculated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP release alongside 66 validated new addresses established post-census. Such a population size translates to a density of 184 persons per square kilometer, indicating low crowding and potential for urban expansion. This 7.6% rise since 2021 outpaced the growth rates of both the surrounding SA3 (7.0%) and the broader SA4 territory, positioning the suburb of Gracemere as a leading expansion zone. The primary driver of this increase was natural growth, which accounted for approximately 70.0% of the overall population gains, though positive contributions were also observed from overseas and interstate relocation.

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The local workforce features a balanced distribution of white-collar and blue-collar occupations, with a strong presence in vital service industries and an unemployment rate of only 3.9% according to statistical area data compiled by Districts. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 6,580, matching the Regional Qld jobless rate of 3.9%, while the participation rate of 69.1% sat slightly above the regional average of 64.3%. Census data indicates that only 4.4% of employed persons worked from their homes, though this figure may have been influenced by past pandemic-related lockdowns.

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Based on financial year 2023 ATO statistics compiled by Districts, taxpayer incomes in Gracemere fall below the national average. The median taxpayer income is recorded at $53,803, with the average income at $64,340, compared to Regional Qld benchmarks of $53,146 and $66,593. Adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, these benchmarks are estimated to be approximately $59,915 for the median and $71,649 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows that household, family, and individual incomes all rank moderately, placing between the 44th and 47th percentiles. The most common income band is the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which accounts for 38.5% of residents (4,981 people), similar to the regional distribution of 31.7%. Housing costs consume a significant portion of income, leaving of earnings remaining, which ranks in the th percentile.

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The local housing stock at the time of the latest Census consisted of 96.1% separate houses and 3.8% other dwelling types like townhouses and apartments, compared to a regional mix of 76.4% separate houses and 23.6% other options. Home ownership rates lagged the wider region, with 23.2% of homes owned outright, while mortgaged properties accounted for 36.7% and rentals made up 40.2%. The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,517 and the median weekly rent of $340 were both below the Regional Qld averages of $1,655 and $345. On a national level, these mortgage expenses are notably lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rent levels sit below the countrywide average of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 77.8%, consisting of couples with children at 34.0%, couples without children at 25.5%, and single parents at 17.1%. The remaining 22.2% are non-family households, which include single-person households at 19.2% and group houses at 3.1%. The median household occupancy of 2.8 individuals is larger than the Regional Qld median of 2.5.

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Educational attainment levels show a lower proportion of university graduates, with 10.9% of residents holding a tertiary degree compared to the national average of 30.4%. This gap highlights opportunities for targeted educational programs. Among those with university degrees, bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.4%, followed by graduate diplomas at 1.3% and postgraduate qualifications at 1.2%. Vocational and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 42.7% of residents aged 15 and over holding credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 8.4% and certificates at 34.3%.

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Health indicators show notable difficulties for the community, according to Districts measurements of mortality and chronic illness rates across both younger and older age brackets, while the rate of private health insurance coverage is slightly above the typical SA2 average at approximately 53% of residents (~6,819 people).

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The local population has a lower level of cultural diversity compared to national averages, with citizens making up 89.9% of the population, 91.6% of residents born in Australia, and 95.7% of households speaking only English. Christianity is the dominant religion at 51.1% of the population, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld.

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The median age of 32 years is significantly lower than the Regional Qld median of 41 and the national average of 38. Compared to Regional Qld, there is a higher proportion of children aged 5 - 14 years (15.6%) and a lower proportion of adults aged 55 - 64 years (8.5%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket grew from 12.9% to 14.3% of the population, and the 65 to 74 bracket rose from 7.4% to 8.5%. In contrast, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 17.9% to 15.6%, and the to cohort fell from to . Projections to suggest significant demographic shifts, with the to age group expected to experience the highest growth rate of , adding residents to reach while the to group is projected to grow by ( people).

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Gracemere currently has an estimated 1,048 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 615 children aged 0-2 and 411 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 6% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 25% by 2041 (to approximately 1,306 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 1,599. Recent growth has been driven by high birth rates observed in the area, with approximately 14.7 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.