Horningsea Park (NSW)

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According to investigations of ABS population statistics for the surrounding region, combined with fresh street addresses verified by Districts following the Census, the suburb of Horningsea Park has a projected occupancy of approximately 3,834 residents as of May 2026. This represents a rise of 161 residents (4.4%) from the 2021 Census, when the head count stood at 3,673 residents. The calculation is derived from a resident headcount of 3,825, calculated by Districts through analyzing the ABS's recent ERP release (June 2025) along with an extra 123 verified new addresses since the Census date. This population size yields a density of 3,912 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality within the highest 10% of areas nationwide monitored by Districts, showing that local land is in high demand. The suburb of Horningsea Park's 4.4% post-census growth rate trails the state average (7.1%) by 2.7 percentage points, representing solid local growth dynamics. Regional growth was mainly propelled by natural increase, which generated approximately of overall population increases in recent times, though all indicators such as overseas and interstate migration were positive.

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Horningsea Park possesses a qualified labor pool distributed across various fields, a jobless rate of only 1.2%, and an estimated 4.9% increase in jobs over the past year, calculated from Districts' compiled regional statistics. As of March 2026, 2,374 residents are employed, with the jobless rate sitting 2.9% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, and workforce engagement is exceptionally high (78.1% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney). Census records indicate that a substantial 40.4% of employed locals worked from home, though this may have been influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns.

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The most recent postcode-level ATO data compiled by Districts for financial year 2023 indicates that personal earnings in Horningsea Park are slightly higher than the national median, showing a median value of $56,884 and an average value of $68,830. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to approximately $62,754 (median) and $75,933 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the highly competitive 89th percentile ($2,457 weekly), whereas personal earnings sit lower at the 54th percentile. The figures show that the largest segment accounts for 37.7% of residents (1,445 people) earning within the - range, mirroring wider metropolitan patterns where fall into this bracket. Economic capacity is highlighted by the of households that secure high weekly incomes above which helps drive local retail spending. Elevated housing expenses absorb of local income, but strong earnings ensure that disposable income remains at the th percentile, and the local SEIFA index for income places the area in the th decile.

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The residential profile of Horningsea Park at the most recent Census consisted of 98.7% detached houses and 1.3% alternative housing types (including duplexes, apartments, and other residential structures), compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across the Sydney metropolitan area. At the same time, the rate of outright home ownership in Horningsea Park was behind the metropolitan average at 21.0%, with the remaining properties being purchased under a mortgage (59.2%) or occupied by tenants (19.8%). The median monthly home loan payment was below the metropolitan benchmark at $2,253, whereas the median weekly rent stood at $530, compared to Sydney metropolitan averages of $2,427 and $470. On a national scale, mortgage commitments in Horningsea Park are notably higher than the Australian median of $1,863, and rent prices are significantly higher than the national median of $375.

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Family units comprise the vast majority of households at 90.8%, consisting of 60.0% couples raising children, 16.3% couples without children, and 13.6% single-parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.2%, with single-person households at 8.1% and group shared arrangements representing 0.6% of the total. The median household occupancy of 3.5 persons exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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The locality presents educational disparities, with university degree attainment (22.6% of residents) falling well below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This situation represents both a developmental hurdle and an opportunity for focused learning campaigns. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational training is highly prevalent, with 32.7% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (21.0%).

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Public transit assessment indicates there are 20 active transit access points operating within Horningsea Park, consisting of bus services. These locations are served by 40 separate routes, which combine to deliver 1,073 passenger services each week. Access to transit is classified as excellent, with locals residing an average of 182 meters from their closest stop. As the area is predominantly residential, the majority of working residents travel out of the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary travel mode at 92%, and 5% traveling by train. Households own an average of 2.1 cars, which is above the metropolitan average. A substantial 40.4% of residents worked from home (2021 Census; this may reflect transient conditions during COVID-19).

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Health indicators demonstrate positive trends across Horningsea Park, according to Districts' evaluation of mortality patterns and long-term health issues, with younger demographics showing particularly low rates of typical medical conditions, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is quite high at approximately 54% of the population (~2,076 people). This compares to 59.9% across the Greater Sydney region.

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Horningsea Park displays high levels of multiculturalism, with 39.4% of the population born outside Australia and 50.7% communicating in a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 57.7% of local residents. The most pronounced religious divergence is Islam, which accounts for 15.9% of the population, a figure significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

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With a median age of 32 years, Horningsea Park's population is noticeably younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and also well below the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the area has a larger proportion of young people aged 15 - 24 (19.2%) but a smaller share of residents aged 25 - 34 (12.0%). The concentration of residents aged 15 - 24 is significantly higher than the national level of 12.7%. Post-2021 Census figures show the 65 to 74 demographic has increased from 5.4% to 6.8% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age bracket has fallen from 15.3% to . Projections suggest that the age structure of Horningsea Park will change considerably by . The to age cohort is expected to grow the fastest, increasing by and adding residents to reach . The trend toward an older population profile is evident as residents aged and over are expected to make up of the overall projected growth, while declines are anticipated in the to and to cohorts.

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Horningsea Park currently has an estimated 207 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 138 children aged 0-2 and 92 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 4% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 9% by 2041 (to approximately 189 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 475. Birth rates in the area have averaged 11.0 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.