Middleton Grange (NSW)

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Middleton Grange has an estimated population of approximately 7,911 as of May 2026, according to analysis of ABS population updates for the wider region and new address data validated by Districts since the Census. This represents an expansion of 868 people (12.3%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 7,043 people. The calculation is based on a resident population of 7,894 estimated by Districts from the latest ABS ERP release in June 2025, combined with an additional 147 validated new addresses registered since the Census. The resulting population density is 3,102 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quartile of national areas evaluated by Districts. The growth rate of 12.3% since the 2021 census outpaced both the state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney, making the area a regional leader in expansion. Population gains were mostly fueled by natural increase, which accounted for roughly 60.0% of the total growth during recent times.

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Middleton Grange has a skilled local workforce with a strong presence in essential services, showing an unemployment rate of only 2.5% and estimated job growth of 6.6% over the past year, based on Districts aggregations of statistical area data. In March 2026, 4,453 residents were employed, and the local unemployment rate was 1.6% lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, while workforce participation stood high at 78.3% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census responses indicated that a significant 39.8% of residents worked from home, although this figure may be influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns.

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Income levels in the suburb of Middleton Grange exceed the national average according to ATO figures aggregated by Districts for financial year 2023. Taxpayers in the suburb of Middleton Grange recorded a median income of $59,014 and an average income of $71,753, compared to Greater Sydney averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on a 10.32% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, local income estimates would be approximately $65,104 for the median and $79,158 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census indicates household incomes are highly ranked at the 85th percentile, with a weekly median of $2,344. The largest income bracket is the 39.7% of households (representing 3,140 residents) earning between $1,500 - weekly, which aligns with the regional trend of in the same bracket. The area displays high relative wealth, with of households earning more than weekly, which assists in supporting high-end retail and local services. Residential costs account for of income, yet solid earnings keep disposable income at the th percentile, and the SEIFA index places the suburb in the th decile for income.

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According to the latest Census, residential dwellings in Middleton Grange consisted of 90.6% standalone houses and 9.4% alternative dwellings, such as semi-detached houses, apartments, and other configurations, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings in the Sydney metropolitan area. Home ownership in Middleton Grange was recorded at 10.8%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 62.1% and rental properties making up 27.1% of local dwellings. The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,500 was higher than the Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427, and the median weekly rent was $520 compared to the regional median of $470. On a national level, mortgage costs in Middleton Grange are considerably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also well above the national median of $375.

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Family households represent 91.2% of all households in the area, consisting of couples with children at 63.6%, couples without children at 14.2%, and single-parent households at 12.6%. The remaining 8.8% of households are non-family arrangements, consisting of single-person households at 8.0% and group households at 0.7%. The median household size of 3.6 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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The region shows lower rates of university completion, with 25.6% of residents holding a tertiary qualification compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This indicates an area where targeted educational initiatives could be beneficial. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 5.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational and technical training is common, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 19.4%.

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Analysis of transit options shows 11 active bus stops operating in Middleton Grange. These stops are served by 30 separate routes, which combine to provide 831 weekly trips. Transit accessibility is moderate, with residents living an average of 460 meters from their nearest stop. Because this is a residential suburb, the majority of workers travel outside the area, and cars remain the primary method of travel at 93%. Households average 1.9 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average. A high proportion of residents (39.8%) worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may be reflective of pandemic conditions.

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Health indicators show strong outcomes across Middleton Grange, based on Districts assessments of mortality and chronic conditions. Younger cohorts demonstrate low rates of common health issues, and private health insurance coverage is high, representing approximately 55% of the local population (~4,373 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

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Middleton Grange exhibits high levels of cultural diversity, with 42.3% of the population born outside Australia and 57.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 69.0% of local residents, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

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The median age in Middleton Grange is 32 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38. The suburb has a higher concentration of residents aged 5 - 14 (18.1%) compared to Greater Sydney, but fewer residents aged 65 - 74 (4.7%). This concentration of 5 - 14 year-olds is higher than the national average of 12.0%. Demographic changes since the 2021 Census show the median age has shifted from 31 to 32 years. Significant shifts include the 15 to 24 cohort expanding from 11.9% to 14.4% of the population, and the 55 to 64 group increasing from to . Conversely, the to group declined from to , and the to cohort fell from to . Projections suggest the age structure of Middleton Grange will change by with the to group showing the highest growth at , adding residents to reach a total of while the to and to groups are expected to decrease.

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Middleton Grange currently has an estimated 640 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 272 children aged 0-2 and 181 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 11% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 6% by 2041 (to approximately 600 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 999. Birth rates in the area have averaged 10.6 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a moderate rate (within the middle tier nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.