Bardia (NSW)

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Based on demographic assessments of ABS statistics for the surrounding region combined with recently validated residential address entries from Districts since the Census, the population of the suburb of Bardia is estimated to stand at approximately 5,767 in May 2026. This represents an addition of 20 people (0.3%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 5,747 people. This shift is derived from a local resident base of 5,743, calculated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP release alongside 132 validated new addresses confirmed after the census. With these figures, the suburb of Bardia has a density ratio of 2,733 persons per square kilometer, placing the location in the top quartile of areas analyzed nationally by Districts. Over the last ten years, the suburb of Bardia has shown strong demographic momentum with a compound annual growth rate of 15.9%, exceeding the wider SA3 region. This population expansion was primarily supported by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 74.0% of the total demographic growth in recent times, though natural increase and overseas migration also contributed positively.

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A highly qualified labor force resides in the suburb of Bardia, showing a high concentration of professional services workers and a low unemployment rate of 3.7%, based on aggregated statistical area data. As of March 2026, there are 2,529 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 0.4% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is closely aligned with the Greater Sydney level of 69.1%. Census records show that a substantial 36.1% of working residents performed their duties from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic-related lockdowns.

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Taxpayer data from the ATO aggregated by Districts for the financial year 2023 shows a median income of $62,785 and an average income of $73,702 in the suburb of Bardia. This is higher than the national average, though Greater Sydney records a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, current income levels are estimated to be roughly $69,264 for the median and $81,308 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census confirms that household, family, and personal incomes in the suburb of Bardia are high, placing between the 77th and 88th percentiles nationally. Looking at the earnings distribution, 42.7% of the population (2,462 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - range, compared to across the wider region. High earnings are further demonstrated by the of households with weekly incomes exceeding supporting strong consumer spending. While high housing costs take up of income, strong local earnings keep disposable income at the th percentile, and the SEIFA index places the area in the th decile for income.

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The housing stock in the suburb of Bardia at the time of the latest Census consisted of 83.1% detached houses and 17.0% other dwelling types like semi-detached homes and apartments, compared to Greater Sydney where houses make up 55.9% and other dwellings make up 44.1%. Home ownership in the suburb of Bardia was lower than the metropolitan Sydney average, sitting at 5.3%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (59.4%) or rented (35.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,600 and the median weekly rent of $550 were both higher than the Sydney metropolitan averages of $2,427 and $470. On a national level, mortgage payments in the suburb of Bardia are notably higher than the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are also well above the national median of $375.

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Families make up the vast majority of households in the suburb of Bardia at 89.6%, consisting of couples with children (62.6%), couples without children (14.8%), and single parent households (10.6%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 10.4%, which includes lone person households at 9.1% and group households at 1.4%. The median household size of 3.5 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

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Educational profiles in the suburb of Bardia are highly advanced compared to regional figures, with 45.9% of residents aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. This high rate of tertiary qualification positions the workforce well for knowledge-intensive roles. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.7% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational education represents 24.0% of qualifications among residents aged 15+, which includes advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (12.4%).

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Public transport options in the suburb of Bardia include 6 active stops serviced by bus routes. These stops are connected to 10 routes that provide a total of 772 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents living an average of 527 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and most workers commute to other areas, with 78% traveling by car and 17% by train. Average vehicle ownership is 1.4 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average. A high proportion of residents (36.1%) worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

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Health metrics for the suburb of Bardia show positive outcomes, with low mortality rates and a low prevalence of chronic illnesses across all age groups. Private health insurance coverage is high, with approximately 56% of the population (~3,232 people) holding cover, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

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The suburb of Bardia ranks among the most multicultural areas nationally, with 54.7% of residents born outside Australia and 65.7% speaking a non-English language at home. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 32.5% of the population. There is a notable concentration of residents practicing Hinduism, who make up 25.6% of the population, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

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With a median age of 29, the suburb of Bardia has a younger population than Greater Sydney (median 37) and Australia (median 38). Compared to Greater Sydney, there is a high proportion of residents aged 35 - 44 (26.6%) and a lower proportion of residents aged 55 - 64 (3.8%). The concentration of 35 - 44 year olds is also higher than the national average of 14.3%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 22.5% to 26.6% of the population, and the 5 to 14 cohort has grown from 18.9% to 20.7%. Over the same period, the to age bracket declined from to , and the to bracket fell from to . Projections to indicate shifts in the local age structure, with the to cohort expected to grow by people () from to while declines are projected for the to and to cohorts.

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Bardia currently has an estimated 686 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 297 children aged 0-2 and 197 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 4% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 15% by 2041 (to approximately 586 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 817. Birth rates in the area have averaged 23.9 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a high rate (among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally).