Kingsville (Vic.)

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Kingsville has a projected population of 4,145 as of May 2026, according to analysis of ABS updates for the region and new address files verified by Districts. This represents a gain of 225 people (5.7%) compared to the 2021 Census, which registered 3,920 people. This change is calculated from a resident population count of 4,129 estimated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP release, combined with 13 validated new addresses identified after the Census. This population level translates to a density of 5,678 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top 10% of all national areas monitored by Districts, highlighting the high demand for local land. The growth in residency was largely supported by arrivals from overseas, which accounted for approximately 73.0% of the overall population expansion in recent times.

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Kingsville features a highly educated labor pool where professional services are strongly represented, an unemployment rate of just 3.4%, and an estimated employment growth of 2.2% over the past year, according to Districts aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 2,703 residents are in work, and the unemployment rate is 1.4% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, while workforce participation is well beyond standard at 83.1% compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, a high 50.2% of residents were found to work from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

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ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that incomes in the suburb of Kingsville are slightly lower than the national average, with a median of $55,124 and an average of $66,748. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded a median of $57,688 and an average of $75,164. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index increase of 9.62% since the 2023 financial year yields estimated values of $60,427 for the median and $73,169 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed Kingsville's household, family, and individual incomes high on a national scale, falling between the 77th and 91st percentiles. The largest income bracket contains 26.7% of residents (1,106 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the metropolitan trend where of households fall into this group. Strong economic capacity is indicated by the of households with weekly incomes above . Although housing expenses account for of income, disposable earnings remain in the th national percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the th decile.

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At the time of the latest Census, the housing stock in Kingsville was composed of 61.4% detached houses and 38.7% medium or high-density dwellings, compared to 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings across Greater Melbourne. Home ownership in the suburb stood at 20.2%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (41.9%) or rented (37.8%). The median mortgage payment of $2,370 per month was higher than the Melbourne metropolitan average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent of $355 was lower than the metropolitan figure of $390. On a national basis, Kingsville's median mortgage costs exceed the Australian average of $1,863, while its median rent is below the national benchmark of $375.

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Families make up 64.2% of all local households, consisting of couples with children (32.7%), couples without children (22.5%), and single parents (7.8%). Non-family households represent 35.8% of the total, with single person households accounting for 31.4% and group shared households representing 4.5%. The average household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

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The proportion of university-qualified residents aged 15+ in Kingsville stands at 49.5%, which is notably higher than the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 regional average of 32.0%. This profile suggests the local workforce is well-suited for professional and knowledge-based roles. Bachelor degrees are held by 30.2% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 13.2% and graduate diplomas at 6.1%. Vocational education, including advanced diplomas (11.0%) and certificates (12.7%), accounts for 23.7% of qualifications among residents aged 15+.

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A review of public transport options shows 9 active stops within Kingsville, consisting of bus services. These stops accommodate 5 distinct routes that supply 1,421 weekly passenger journeys. Access to services is high, with the average distance to a stop being 150 meters. Because the suburb is mostly residential, the majority of working residents travel outside the area for employment. Cars are the primary mode of travel at 70%, with trains used by 16% and walking accounting for 4%. Household vehicle ownership stands at an average of 0.8 per dwelling, which is below the metropolitan average. A significant 50.2% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic lockdowns.

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Health metrics suggest lower relative outcomes in Kingsville based on local mortality and chronic illness rates, with common conditions observed across multiple age groups. The rate of private health insurance coverage is slightly above the average SA2 area at approximately 53% of the population, representing about 2,206 people, compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne.

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Kingsville exhibits higher cultural diversity than most areas, with 28.0% of residents born outside Australia and 22.8% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the most common religious affiliation, representing 34.2% of the population. The most pronounced religious overrepresentation is among those identifying as Jewish, who make up 0.2% of the population compared to 1.0% across Greater Melbourne.

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Kingsville's median age of 37 matches the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and is close to the national figure of 38. The 35 - 44 age cohort is highly represented at 20.5%, compared to 8.7% for the 15 - 24 cohort. This 35 - 44 group size is larger than the national average of 14.3%. Since 2021, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 grew from 7.2% to 8.7%, and the 65 to 74 group rose from 4.9% to 6.3%, while the 5 to 14 cohort dropped from 13.6% to . Looking ahead to demographic models project that the to cohort will expand by ( people), growing from to while the to cohort is expected to decrease by residents.

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Kingsville currently has an estimated 273 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 157 children aged 0-2 and 106 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 5% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 5% by 2041 (to approximately 287 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 351. Birth rates in the area have averaged 12.9 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a high rate (among the top 20% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.