Kyneton (Vic.)

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Based on demographic evaluations from the ABS for the wider region and new home validations by Districts following the Census, the suburb of Kyneton has an estimated occupancy of 7,657 residents as of May 2026. This indicates a growth of 144 individuals (1.9%) relative to the 2021 Census, which counted 7,513 people. This trend is calculated from the local populace of 7,642, determined by Districts through analysing the latest ERP statistics published by the ABS (June 2025) alongside 207 confirmed new locations registered post-census. The current occupancy corresponds to a density of 75 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density living and space for expansion. The suburb of Kyneton's 1.9% post-census growth is within 2.1 percentage points of the broader SA4 region (4.0%), showing healthy local growth fundamentals. Gains in population during recent times were mostly driven by overseas migration, which made up approximately 89.0% of the overall increase.

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Statistical evaluations by Districts show a highly educated local workforce, strong representation in essential services, a very low unemployment rate of 1.9%, and an estimated job growth rate of 1.3% over the prior year. By March 2026, there were 3,679 working residents, with an unemployment rate 1.8% below the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%. Participation in the workforce is lower than average, standing at 58.8% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%. Data from the Census indicates a substantial 29.5% of workers performed their duties from home, though this figure may have been affected by Covid-19 restrictions.

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According to tax data aggregated by Districts for financial year 2023, the local income level is slightly above the national average. The median income for taxpayers is $50,484, while the average stands at $69,107, compared to Regional Vic. figures of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Applying the Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% recorded since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to approximately $55,341 (median) and $75,755 (average) as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes are positioned moderately, landing between the 38th and 42nd percentiles. Looking at earnings distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket accounts for 30.5% of the community (2,335 individuals), which aligns closely with the regional average of in the same category. After housing costs, residents retain of their income for discretionary spending, placing the area in the th decile of the SEIFA income index.

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The housing stock recorded in the latest Census consisted of 88.6% separate houses and 11.4% other dwelling types, such as townhouses and apartments, compared to Regional Vic.'s profile of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Outright home ownership matches the Regional Vic. rate of 41.7%, while the remaining properties are either under mortgage (36.8%) or occupied by tenants (21.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $1,798 is significantly higher than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430, and the median weekly rent of $360 compares to the regional figure of $285. On a national level, Kyneton's mortgage payments are below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are lower than the national benchmark of $375.

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Families represent the majority of households at 70.0% of the total, consisting of couples with children (28.2%), couples without children (31.5%), and single parent families (9.6%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 30.0%, consisting of single-person households at 27.0% and group housing making up 2.7%. The median household size is 2.4 people, matching the average across Regional Vic.

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The local educational profile is distinguished within the region, with tertiary qualification rates (30.4% of residents aged 15+) higher than both the Rest of Vic. average of 21.7% and the SA4 region average of 25.4%, indicating a strong academic focus. Bachelor degrees represent the largest cohort at 19.4%, followed by postgraduate degrees (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational qualifications are also common, with 32.4% of the population aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (20.8%).

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Analysis of transit options indicates 35 passenger stops are active locally, including train connections. These stops are serviced by 18 separate routes, which facilitate 1,092 passenger journeys weekly. Accessibility is rated favorably, with residents living an average of 267 meters from their nearest transit stop. Given the residential nature of the suburb, most workers commute out of the area, with private cars remaining the primary transport mode at 88%, while 6% of commuters walk. Average vehicle ownership is 1.6 cars per household. A notable 29.5% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census figures which may have been influenced by pandemic circumstances.

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Analysis of mortality statistics and chronic condition rates by Districts indicates notable health difficulties, with common ailments present across multiple age cohorts, alongside a relatively high rate of private health insurance covering roughly 54% of the population (~4,146 people), compared to 50.5% across Regional Vic.

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The community has lower cultural diversity than average, with 84.6% of residents born in Australia, 89.4% holding citizenship, and 94.2% speaking only English in their households. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 45.6% of the population. The most prominent religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.3% of the community compared to 0.1% across Regional Vic.

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The median age of 47 years is higher than the Regional Vic. average of 43 and the national median of 38. The age distribution reveals a high concentration of residents in the 45 - 54 bracket (14.9%), while the 25 - 34 cohort is smaller (8.2%) than in Regional Vic. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 8.1% to 9.0% of the population, whereas the 55 to 64 bracket has decreased from 13.2% to 12.5%. Significant demographic changes are anticipated by 2041, led by the 45 to 54 cohort, which is projected to expand by 34% ( people) to reach from . In contrast, the to cohort is expected to grow more slowly at , adding residents.

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Kyneton currently has an estimated 382 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 225 children aged 0-2 and 150 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 4% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 29% by 2041 (to approximately 493 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 745. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 8.5 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.