Lemon Tree Passage (NSW)

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According to ABS population updates for the wider region and new addresses verified by Districts after the Census, the suburb of Lemon Tree Passage has a population estimated at 2,690 as of May 2026. This represents an increase of 4 people (0.1%) since the 2021 Census, when the count was 2,686 people. This shift is derived from a resident population of 2,687, estimated by Districts using the ABS June 2025 ERP data release alongside address verification since the Census. This population level translates to a density of 905 persons per square kilometer, matching typical averages across areas evaluated by Districts. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth, accounting for approximately 50.0% of the total demographic gains in recent times.

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The local workforce is evenly divided between professional and industrial roles, with strong representation in manufacturing and trade sectors. The unemployment rate sits at 5.6%, and employment grew by 2.1% over the past year, according to aggregated statistical data. In March 2026, there were 972 working residents. The unemployment rate is 1.5% higher than the 4.1% recorded in Regional NSW, while workforce participation is significantly lower at 43.7% compared to 60.6% in Regional NSW. Census data indicates that a moderate 19.0% of residents worked from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic lockdowns.

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The latest postcode-level ATO statistics for the financial year 2023 show that incomes in the suburb of Lemon Tree Passage are below national benchmarks, with a median of $41,353 and an average of $50,258. By comparison, Regional NSW recorded a median income of $52,390 and an average of $65,215. Adjusting for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since the financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 are approximately $45,621 for the median and $55,445 for the average. According to the Census, household, family, and individual incomes all fall between the 5th and 5th percentiles nationally. The largest income bracket contains 28.7% of residents (772 people) earning between $800 and $1,499, differing from regional trends where the to bracket is largest at . Affordability is a major challenge, with residents retaining only of their income after housing costs, placing the area in the th percentile.

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Residential housing structure in the area at the latest Census consisted of 87.9% standalone houses and 12.1% alternative dwellings such as townhouses, apartments, or other structures, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings in Regional NSW. Home ownership was high at 45.3%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (28.6%) or occupied by renters (26.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,600, which is below the Regional NSW average of $1,733. The median weekly rent was $365, compared to $330 in Regional NSW. Nationally, local mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are below the national median of $375.

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Families make up the majority of households at 67.7%, consisting of couples with children at 19.3%, couples without children at 35.1%, and single-parent households at 12.3%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 32.3%, comprising single-person households at 28.6% and group households at 3.7%. The median household size of 2.3 individuals is slightly smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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Educational attainment levels present a challenge, as the university qualification rate of 12.3% is much lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This gap offers an opportunity for targeted local training programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 8.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 1.9% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational and technical skills are strong, with 47.7% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (37.0%).

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Public transport options include 22 active bus stops operating locally. These stops are served by 20 distinct routes, which provide a total of 244 weekly passenger services. Transport access is highly convenient, with residents living an average of 176 meters from their nearest stop. Because this is mainly a residential suburb, most workers commute out of the area, and private vehicles are the primary mode of travel for 97% of commuters. Households own an average of 1.4 vehicles. About 19.0% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.

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Health indicators highlight significant issues for residents, based on mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses across young and old age groups. The rate of private health insurance is low, covering approximately 47% of the population (~1,261 people). This is lower than the 51.9% average for Regional NSW and the national average of 55.7%.

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Cultural diversity is lower than average, with citizens making up 89.6% of the population, 87.6% born in Australia, and 95.6% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 54.4% of residents, which is comparable to the 55.9% recorded across Regional NSW.

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The median age of 52 years in the suburb of Lemon Tree Passage is much higher than the Regional NSW average of 43 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 cohort is highly represented at 18.1%, compared to 9.2% for children aged 5 - 14. This older cohort is also much larger than the national average of 9.4%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age group increased from 9.3% to 11.3%, and the 75 to 84 group grew from 9.3% to 11.2%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort shrank from 11.7% to , and the to group fell from to . Projections for suggest major shifts, with the to group growing by (adding people to reach ), while the to group is expected to decline by people.

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Lemon Tree Passage currently has an estimated 123 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 79 children aged 0-2 and 51 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 0% since the previous census. though population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 26% by 2041 (to approximately 155 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 203. Birth rates in the area have averaged 8.2 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a low rate (among the bottom 30% of areas assessed nationally). This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.