Medowie (NSW)

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Following examination of ABS demographic releases for the wider region and new locations confirmed by Districts post-Census, the suburb of Medowie has an estimated resident count of 12,109 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 1,230 people (11.3%) from the 2021 Census, which documented 10,879 people. This shift is calculated from a local population of 12,077, calculated by Districts using the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) plus 596 validated new addresses verified since the Census. Such a population size results in a density of 270 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and capacity for subsequent expansion. The 11.3% growth rate in the suburb of Medowie since the 2021 census was faster than the Rest of NSW (4.9%) and the local SA3, establishing it as a regional growth leader. Population gains were mostly propelled by arrivals from other states, accounting for roughly 73.0% of the overall growth, though natural increase and international arrivals also contributed positively.

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Medowie has a balanced labour market with representation across professional and manual occupations, strong employment in public service sectors, an unemployment rate of only 2.3%, and consistent jobs numbers over the previous year based on Districts' regional data compilation. In March 2026, there are 5,462 working residents, with the local unemployment rate sitting 1.8% below the Regional NSW rate of 4.1%, and participation levels matching the Regional NSW rate of 60.6%. Census data reveals that a notable 25.3% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure likely reflects the influence of pandemic restrictions.

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According to the most recent postcode ATO statistics released by Districts for financial year 2023, the suburb of Medowie's median taxpayer income is $59,012, with an average of $72,259. This is above the national average, and compares to a median of $52,390 and average of $65,215 across Regional NSW. Applying Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of roughly $65,102 (median) and $79,716 (average) as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, household, family and individual incomes in Medowie ranked around the 63rd percentile nationally. The primary income group consists of 39.1% of households earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (representing 4,734 residents), similar to the broader region where fall into this range. Discretionary income stands at after housing costs, and the local SEIFA income ranking places the area in the th decile.

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Housing composition in Medowie at the time of the latest Census consisted of 97.3% houses and 2.8% other dwelling types (such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative structures), compared to Regional NSW where 82.6% are houses and 17.4% are other dwellings. Home ownership in Medowie was below the Regional NSW average at 30.6%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (47.0%) or rented (22.5%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was significantly above the Regional NSW average of $1,733, coming in at $1,950, while the median weekly rent was $430 compared to $330 in Regional NSW. Nationally, Medowie's mortgage payments exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are also considerably higher than the national median of $375.

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Families comprise the vast majority of households at 84.4%, consisting of couples with children at 41.8%, couples without children at 29.9%, and single parent households at 11.9%. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.6%, with single-person households representing 14.5% and group living situations making up 1.4%. The median household occupancy of 2.9 individuals is higher than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

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The local area shows educational discrepancies, with tertiary qualification rates (15.8%) tracking well below the NSW benchmark of 32.2%. This indicates a clear opportunity for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees represent the primary higher qualification at 11.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational and technical training is common, with 47.7% of residents aged 15 and over holding a trade credential, split between advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (35.1%).

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Public transit records show 163 passenger stops in Medowie, consisting of bus services. These stops support 66 unique routes, which offer 653 passenger journeys weekly. Transit access is high, with residents living an average of 196 meters from their nearest stop. Because of the area's residential nature, the majority of commuters travel outside the locality, and private cars are the primary mode of travel at 97%. Dwellings average 2.0 vehicles, which is higher than the regional average. A high portion of residents (25.3%) work from home (2021 Census; potentially influenced by pandemic conditions).

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Medowie has notable public health needs, based on Districts' evaluation of local mortality figures and chronic illness rates, with health issues observed across both younger and older demographics, while private medical coverage is exceptionally high at roughly 55% of the community (~6,719 people). This compares to 51.9% for Regional NSW.

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Medowie displays lower levels of cultural diversity than average, with 90.3% of its residents born in Australia, 94.4% holding citizenship, and 96.3% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 53.9% of the population. This compares to 55.9% across Regional NSW.

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The median age of 37 years in Medowie is lower than the Regional NSW average of 43 and aligns closely with the national average of 38. Children aged 5 - 14 are highly represented (14.6%), whereas the 65 - 74 age group is smaller (9.9%) than typically seen in Regional NSW. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 cohort has increased from 4.4% to 6.2% of the population, and the 15 to 24 group rose from 12.0% to 13.2%. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 cohort decreased from 16.3% to 14.6% and the 45 to demographic fell from to . Looking forward to age projections indicate notable changes in Medowie. The to age bracket is set to grow strongly, adding people () to rise from to . Conversely, the to cohort is projected to expand by a modest ( people).

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Medowie currently has an estimated 811 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 439 children aged 0-2 and 293 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 10% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 33% by 2041 (to approximately 1,078 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 1,316. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 10.1 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.