Lobethal (SA)

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Based on demographic evaluations from the ABS for the surrounding region, combined with address records verified by Districts post-Census, the suburb of Lobethal has an estimated population of 2,698 in May 2026. This represents a gain of 164 people (6.5%) compared to the 2,534 individuals documented during the 2021 Census. The calculation is based on an estimated resident population of 2,696 derived from the June 2025 ABS ERP release, supplemented by 30 validated new addresses added after the Census. This count indicates a population density of 103 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and capacity for future expansion. The 6.5% growth rate of the suburb of Lobethal post-Census is within 1.0 percentage points of the statewide average (7.5%), showing comparable expansion dynamics. Incoming interstate migrants accounted for approximately 54.0% of the overall population gains recorded during the latest intervals.

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The local workforce is characterized by high skill levels and a strong presence in essential services, showing an unemployment rate of just 3.3% alongside an estimated 6.0% employment growth over the past year based on regional aggregations. In March 2026, there are 1,456 working residents, with an unemployment rate 0.5% lower than the 3.8% recorded in Greater Adelaide, while participation rates remain comparable to the 66.6% average of Greater Adelaide. Census statistics show that a low 11.5% of working locals operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of past pandemic lockdowns.

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ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that incomes in the suburb of Lobethal are below national benchmarks, with a median of $48,766 and an average of $62,443. This is lower than the Greater Adelaide median of $54,808 and average of $66,852. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.17% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates correspond to approximately $53,726 for the median and $68,793 for the average in March 2026. The 2021 Census ranks household, family, and individual incomes moderately, placing them between the 37th and 40th percentiles. The largest income group is the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, accounting for 34.7% of residents (936 people), which matches the metropolitan pattern of 31.8% in this bracket. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain of their income for other needs, placing the area in the th decile of the SEIFA income index.

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At the time of the latest Census, housing types in Lobethal consisted of 90.6% standalone houses and 9.4% alternative dwellings like semi-detached homes, apartments, and others, compared to 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings across metropolitan Adelaide. The home ownership rate was higher than the metropolitan average at 34.4%, with remaining properties held under a mortgage (50.1%) or occupied by renters (15.5%). Typical monthly mortgage payments were lower than the Adelaide metropolitan average of $1,562 at $1,473, and median weekly rent was $310 compared to the metropolitan average of $320. Compared nationally, mortgage costs in Lobethal are much lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rent levels are well below the national median of $375.

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Families comprise the majority of households at 71.9%, consisting of couples with children at 30.2%, couples without children at 30.9%, and single-parent structures at 9.9%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 28.1%, containing lone-person households at 26.7% and group homes at 1.4%. The average household occupancy of 2.5 people aligns with the regional average for Greater Adelaide.

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Educational attainment profiles point to areas for development, as university graduation rates (19.2%) fall significantly short of the SA4 regional average of 42.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher education qualification at 13.9%, with postgraduate degrees at 3.0% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Vocational and technical training is highly prevalent, with 40.4% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificate-level qualifications (29.5%).

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Public transit audits show 15 active stops in the area, serviced by a combination of buses. These stops accommodate 8 separate routes, which provide 131 passenger trips weekly. Accessibility is favorable, with residents living an average of 229 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is mostly residential, leading most workers to travel out of the area, with private vehicles serving as the primary transport mode for 93% of commuters. Average vehicle ownership stands at 1.6 per household, higher than the regional average. A low 11.5% of residents work from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.

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Health indicators show favorable conditions for local residents, with analyses of mortality rates and medical diagnoses aligning with national averages. The prevalence of common illnesses is low across both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance coverage is relatively low, held by approximately 52% of the population (~1,394 people).

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Cultural diversity metrics are below average, with 84.7% of residents born in Australia, 91.8% holding citizenship, and 94.6% using only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 49.7% of the population. The most distinct relative difference is in the Other category, which represents 0.8% of the population, compared to the Greater Adelaide average of 1.8%.

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The median age of 43 years is higher than the Greater Adelaide average of 39 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Adelaide, there is a larger share of residents aged 55 - 64 (15.0%) and a smaller share of young adults aged 25 - 34 (11.1%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 7.5% to 9.0%, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.6% to 11.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate shifts, led by a 137% increase in the 85+ bracket, growing by 125 people to reach 217 from . Combined cohorts aged and over will represent of all population growth, while the to age bracket is projected to grow by ( people).

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Lobethal currently has an estimated 142 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 80 children aged 0-2 and 52 children aged 3-4. This cohort grew by an estimated 4% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future growth, with an anticipated increase of 8% by 2041 (to approximately 154 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 256. While growth has been positive birth rates observed in the area have been moderate, with approximately 11.4 births per 1,000 residents recorded over the latest two-year period analysed which ranks the area within the middle tier nationally. This rate has slowed down slightly in recent years however.