Merimbula contains 1 Long Day Care centre (56 places) and 1 OSHC facility (41 places), while overall provision relative to the local child population appears limited compared to national benchmarks, and is below the Regional NSW average. With no preschool/kindergarten services observed in the area, only long day care, the ratio of children per place for the under 5 age group is 2.8 - placing the area among the bottom 30% nationally for supply per child. To meet the Regional NSW average 20 new places would be required (LDC+PSK to service the under 5 age group). Meanwhile, with projected population growth of 14.2% between now and 2041, and 14.3% in the under 5 age group in particular, not considering current depressed supply, 7 new places will be needed to maintain today's ratios. As well as this projected growth, other factors worth noting are lower female labour force participation of 48.0%, as well as lower than average income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 11.0 per 100 residents with 423 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This middle-of-the-road rate of school supply suggests most local students are residents within the immediate area. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being relatively in line with national benchmarks while high fees are observed suggesting limited supply might be having an outsized impact on inflation.
3 school catchments intersect Merimbula (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 830 children aged under 5 reside, served by 589 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.4 children per place, with limited variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Merimbula and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.