Narellan (NSW)

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According to evaluations of ABS demographics data for the surrounding region and recent residential addresses verified by Districts subsequent to the Census, the suburb of Narellan has an estimated residency of 3,675 individuals as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 317 people (9.4%) since the 2021 Census, when the registered count was 3,358 residents. This shift is calculated from a local population baseline of 3,662, which was determined by Districts utilizing the ABS June 2025 release of ERP figures alongside an additional 71 validated new addresses since the Census date. With these numbers, the suburb of Narellan features a density of 921 persons per square kilometer, which aligns closely with typical values calculated across other locations studied by Districts. The 9.4% population gain in the suburb of Narellan since the 2021 census outpaced the state rate of 7.1% as well as the broader SA3 territory, positioning it as a leading growth zone locally. This upward trajectory was chiefly fueled by natural increase, which was responsible for roughly of the overall population gains in recent times, though positive movements were also recorded across all other components, including interstate and overseas migration.

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The local labor force is split evenly between professional and trade roles, with construction emerging as a highly prominent industry, an unemployment rate of just 3.0%, and a yearly jobs increase of 7.8% calculated from Districts' regional data pools. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 2,111, with the local unemployment rate sitting 1.1% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is standard at 73.1% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census responses show that a moderate 25.1% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may have been influenced by COVID-19 lockouts.

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The most recent postcode-level ATO data from Districts for the 2023 financial year indicates that personal earnings in the suburb of Narellan fall below national averages, with a median of $48,872 and an average of $59,295. This is lower than the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates would sit around $53,916 for the median and $65,414 for the average as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census highlights that household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of Narellan are modest, placing between the 42nd and 47th percentiles. In terms of distribution, the largest cohort consists of 38.7% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (1,422 residents), matching the metropolitan trend where fall into this bracket. Affordability pressures are high, leaving residents with only of their income after housing costs, placing the area in the th percentile.

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According to the latest Census, the housing stock comprised 90.7% standalone houses and 9.3% alternative dwellings like townhouses and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings in metropolitan Sydney. Home ownership rates were consistent with the metropolitan benchmark at 29.0%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (33.5%) or occupied by tenants (37.5%). The median monthly home loan payment of $2,037 was considerably lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,427, while the median weekly rental cost of $430 was below the metropolitan figure of $470. On a national level, home loan payments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also higher than the national figure of $375.

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The majority of households are families at 76.8% of the total, which includes 32.7% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 17.1% single-parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, consisting of lone-person households at 20.2% and group households at 3.1%. The median household occupancy of 2.7 residents matches the average for Greater Sydney.

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Educational attainment profiles indicate some hurdles, with university graduation rates of 13.8% sitting well below the Greater Sydney mark of 38.0%. This dynamic presents both a local difficulty and a target area for educational development. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 9.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.4%. Vocational skills are highly represented, with 40.9% of residents aged 15 and older holding trade qualifications, split between advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 30.9%.

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Public transport options include 46 active bus stops within the local area, which are serviced by 80 separate routes offering a combined total of 4,156 weekly passenger trips. Access to public transit is highly rated, with residents living an average of 185 meters from the nearest stop. Given the residential nature of the suburb, most workers commute out of the area, and private vehicles remain the primary transit mode at 92%. Car ownership averages 1.6 vehicles per household, which is above the metropolitan average. The 2021 Census noted that 25.1% of residents worked from home, which may reflect COVID-19 pandemic settings.

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Health indicators point to notable challenges, based on Districts analysis of mortality and chronic disease rates affecting both younger and older residents, alongside a low rate of private health insurance coverage which sits at approximately 50% of the population (~1,852 people). This compares to a rate of 59.9% throughout Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

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Cultural diversity measures are below average, with 85.7% of residents born in Australia, 92.0% holding citizenship, and 90.5% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 63.2% of the local population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

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The median age of 36 years is close to the Greater Sydney average of 37 and slightly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to the metropolitan region, there is a higher share of residents aged 65 to 74 (10.0%) but fewer residents aged 25 to 34 (13.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has risen from 4.3% to 6.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age bracket decreased from 15.7% to 13.9% and the 0 to 4 group declined from 6.7% to 5.4%. Demographic models show that the age profile is set to change by 2041, with the to age group projected to grow by , adding residents to reach while the to and to cohorts are expected to decrease in size.

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Narellan currently has an estimated 198 children under 5 years old, comprising approximately 142 children aged 0-2 and 95 children aged 3-4. This cohort declined by an estimated 12% since the previous census. while population forecasts indicate future decline, with an anticipated decrease of 4% by 2041 (to approximately 191 children). Meanwhile the 5-12 cohort currently amounts to 446. Birth rates in the area have averaged 12.6 per 1,000 residents over the latest two-year period, a high rate (among the top 30% of areas assessed nationally).