Noble Park North contains 1 Long Day Care centre (105 places), 1 preschool/kindergarten facility (56 places) and 2 OSHC facilities (100 places). Combined service provision across long day care and preschool/kindergarten services, and the approximate 386 children in the cohort, sees a ratio of children per place of 2.4 - placing the area below the national average for supply per child. Looking at long day care specifically against the under-5 population, the ratio is 3.7 children per place (lower quintile supply). Further breakdowns by age, to help in identifying the most in-need services, show an undersupply of LDC places across the infant and toddler cohort (<3yo) with just 105 places across 1 facility serving a total of 230 children while preschool supply is moderate with 1 facility providing 56 places (2.8 children aged 3-4 per place compared to the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6). Projected population decline of 10.9% in the under 5 age group between now and 2041 suggests a reduction in demand for childcare services. Other factors relevant to demand worth noting are lower female labour force participation of 48.9%, as well as lower than average income performance.
In assessing child care markets local school supply is a particularly important factor, given school-run convenience, and enrolment vs child care place analysis can provide useful insight into capacity both for parents seeking child care options and child care operators assessing opportunities in an area. The catchment sees a level of school enrolment relative to population of 26.3 per 100 residents with 1,995 enrolments across primary and secondary institutions. This notably elevated rate of school supply suggests many students travel to the area from beyond the immediate surrounds, typically amplifying local childcare demand given school-run proximity. Additionally, the level of school places per child care place (LDC+PSK) is moderate. Rather unsurprisingly, out of school hours child care - serving school age children - was found to be much more abundant than other service types in the area. Proximity analysis saw distances of local residents to their nearest child care centre being relatively in line with national benchmarks.
9 school catchments intersect Noble Park North (note; school catchment data provided for public schools only), in which a combined 4,011 children aged under 5 reside, served by 2,786 LDC and preschool places. The overall demand-to-supply ratio across these catchments is 1.4 children per place, with moderate variance in this ratio. Meanwhile, the discrepancy in this ratio between Noble Park North and the intersecting school catchments highlights the need for a catchment based approach for specific site assessments.